Category Archives: Uncategorised

Armenia to start manufacturing drones

APRIL 17 2024 (The Bulletin) — Armenia could soon start manufacturing its own drones, its minister for hi-tech industry, Mkhitar Hayrepetyan, said. He said that Armenia’s defence ministry had already placed orders worth $305m with manufacturers for what he described as “moderate quality” drones. Armenia is trying to arm itself with more sophisticated weapons to close the tech gap with Azerbaijan.

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— This story was published in issue 565 of the Central Asia & South Caucasus Bulletin, on April 23 2024

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Kazakhstan increases arbitration claim against international oil companies

ALMATY/APRIL 17 2024 (The Bulletin) — Kazakhstan has increased an arbitration claim initially lodged last year against international energy companies to more than $150b, sources told Reuters. 

The claims, focused on the Kashagan and Karachaganak oil and gas fields, are based on alleged lost income by Kazakhstan. The increase from $16.5b makes the arbitration claim one of the world’s biggest.

Reuters quoted a “source with knowledge” of the case as saying that the new litigation claim “reflected the calculation of the value of oil production that was promised to the government but not delivered by the field developers”.

Kazakh officials and Western oil companies have not commented on the new figure, although they confirmed that they are involved with unspecified attribution proceedings.

Kashagan and Karachaganak are two of Kazakhstan’s biggest oil and gas fields. Both have been the focus of legal disputes with the Kazakh government previously. Kazakh officials have said they were unfairly dealt with in the 1990s when oil companies were making deals to exploit fields in newly independent former Soviet states.

In 2020, the Karachaganak partners paid out $1.9b to settle an arbitration dispute with Kazakhstan. Kazmunaigas, the Kazakh state oil and gas company, is now a shareholder in both projects.

Analysts have said that arbitration claims are part of the risk of doing business in Kazakhstan and that international companies factor this risk into their costs.

The specifics of the current dispute have not been disclosed, although Kazakh officials have said that it is a purely commercial dispute that will be settled through the courts.

“The sides are going to resolve it within the arbitration framework,” the Kazakh energy ministry said.

Italy’s Eni is the main developer at Kashagan and also at Karachaganak, alongside Shell.

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— This story was published in issue 565 of the Central Asia & South Caucasus Bulletin, on April 23 2024

— Copyright the Central Asia & South Caucasus Bulletin 2024

Turkmenistan opens new road to boost trade

APRIL 17 2024 (The Bulletin) — Turkmenistan opened a 109km section of road linking the cities of Mary and Tedzhen in the south of the country that officials said would boost trade.

Pres. Serdar Berdymukhamedov described the Ashgabat-Turkmenabat road, which aims to carry products imported from East Asia to Europe, as a new “Silk Road”.

Work on the 600km Ashgabat-Turkmenabat highway across the Karakum Desert began in 2019. Turkmenabat lies on Turkmenistan’s northern border with Uzbekistan.

Like other countries in Central Asia, Turkmenistan has benefited from a boom in East-West trade since the start of the war in Ukraine and in particular an increase of trade between Russia and Iran. Russia has been buying drones from Iran, which are shipped across the Caspian Sea, and has sent back fuel on rail, through Central Asia.

This week too, Russian officials said that they were interested in restarting the Moscow-Ashgabat passenger railway route which was closed in 1993.

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— This story was published in issue 565 of the Central Asia & South Caucasus Bulletin, on April 23 2024

— Copyright the Central Asia & South Caucasus Bulletin 2024

Football captain backs protests

APRIL 17 2024 (The Bulletin) — The captain of the Georgian football team that qualified for the European Championships for the first time last month, joined criticism of the government’s attempts to force through a “foreign agents” law that will crimp Western-backed NGOs and media. Jaba Kankava holds near cult status in Georgia after his team defeated Greece on penalties in their final qualifying match for Euro-2024.

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— This story was published in issue 565 of the Central Asia & South Caucasus Bulletin, on April 23 2024

— Copyright the Central Asia & South Caucasus Bulletin 2024

Georgian MPs pass first reading of “foreign agents” law

TBILISI/APRIL 17 2024 (The Bulletin) — Georgian MPs passed the first reading of a “foreign agents” bill that will clamp down on West-backed NGOs and media. 

The bill needs to pass two more readings before it becomes law. This is expected by mid-May. The Georgian Dream government, suspected of being pro-Russia, dominates parliament. 

Thousands of people have protested against the law every day outside parliament in the centre of Tbilisi. Police used pepper spray to disperse some crowds but major clashes with protesters have not been reported, although MPs have brawled in parliament.

Last year, the Georgian Dream government abandoned a similar bill after street fights. 

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— This story was published in issue 565 of the Central Asia & South Caucasus Bulletin, on April 23 2024

— Copyright the Central Asia & South Caucasus Bulletin 2024

EU to send “non-lethal” aid to Armenia

APRIL 17 2024 (The Bulletin) — The EU agreed to send “non-lethal” military aid to Armenia for the first time, part of increasingly tight ties. Under the agreement, Armenia will send 10m euros under the European Peace Facility (EPF) which will finance battalion-sized field camps and army medical centres. Last month the EU pledged 270m euros to Armenia to strengthen business and society against Russian influence. ENDS

— This story was published in issue 565 of the Central Asia & South Caucasus Bulletin, on April 23 2024

— Copyright the Central Asia & South Caucasus Bulletin 2024

Kyrgyzstan bans TikTok

APRIL 17 2024 (The Bulletin) — Kyrgyzstan banned the Chinese social media app TikTok because lawmakers said that it was polluting young people. Its security forces, the GKNB, said that TikTok harms the “health of children, their intellect, mental, spiritual and moral development”. Kazakhstan said it is considering a similar ban.

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— This story was published in issue 565 of the Central Asia & South Caucasus Bulletin, on April 23 2024

— Copyright the Central Asia & South Caucasus Bulletin 2024

Migrant flow from Tajikistan to Russia has picked up, says airline

DUSHANBE/APRIL 17 2024 (The Bulletin) — Migrant flows from Dushanbe to Moscow have picked up since a drop after a terrorist attack in Moscow, Tajik media quoted aviation officials as saying.

This is important because Tajik officials had reported that thousands of Tajik workers wanted to leave Russia at the end of March because of an increase in xenophobic attacks and pressure from the police. 

Remittances sent back by workers in Russia are vital for the Tajik economy, making up around 25% of its GDP.

An official for Somon Air, a Tajik airline, said that by the end of April passenger traffic between Tajikistan and Russia should have returned to normal.

“We’re seeing a trend towards an increase in passenger traffic in the direction of Russia and back compared with the figures two weeks ago,” the official said. 

Somon Air operates between 130 and 140 flights per month between Russia and Tajikistan.

Police arrested four Tajik men for killing at least 144 people at a rock concert in Moscow on March 22, the worst terrorist attack in Russia for 20 years.

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— This story was published in issue 565 of the Central Asia & South Caucasus Bulletin, on April 23 2024

— Copyright the Central Asia & South Caucasus Bulletin 2024

Tajik opposition in exile “disappear”

APRIL 16 2024 (The Bulletin) — Human rights groups said that several people linked to Group 24, an organisation banned in Tajikistan have disappeared from Lithuania, Poland and Turkey over the past few weeks. Human Rights Watch and the Norwegian Helsinki Committee accused Tajikistan of orchestrating a secret extradition project against Group 24 members. Group 24 is a political movement opposed to Tajik Pres. Emomali Rakhmon and has been labelled a terror group by the Tajik government.

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— This story was published in issue 565 of the Central Asia & South Caucasus Bulletin, on April 23 2024

— Copyright the Central Asia & South Caucasus Bulletin 2024

Tajikistan cuts visa-free access to Turks

APRIL 16 2024 (The Bulletin) — Tajikistan said that it would now impose visa conditions on Turkish citizens after Turkey cancelled its visa-free regime for Tajiks. Turkey cancelled visa-free access to Tajiks after a terrorist attack in Moscow in March that has been blamed on Tajik migrant workers. Turkey is an important source of work for Tajik workers and analysts said that the visa ban would be economically painful.

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— This story was published in issue 565 of the Central Asia & South Caucasus Bulletin, on April 23 2024

— Copyright the Central Asia & South Caucasus Bulletin 2024