Tag Archives: sovereign debt

Berdymukhamedov celebrates paying off China debt

JUNE 11 2021 (The Bulletin) — Turkmenistan has paid off its debt to China, Turkmen Pres. Kurbanguly Berdymukhamedov said at a government meeting. Mr Berdymukhamedov said that by paying off the Chinese loans, Turkmenistan had increased its independence. China has been criticised for forcing loan recipients into debt traps. Turkmenistan took the loan, reportedly around $8b, from China to pay for the construction of its Galkynysh gas project and for a gas pipeline running to China.

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— This story was published in issue 48 of the Central Asia & South Caucasus Bulletin, on June 16 2021

— Copyright the Central Asia & South Caucasus Bulletin 2021

German ratings agency downgrades Armenia

JULY 28 (The Bulletin) — Frankfurt-based ratings agency RAEX changed Armenia’s economic outlook status to stable from positive because of a growing government budget deficit, rising government debt and an anticipated recession. The downturn in outlook matches analysts’ predictions that the coronavirus pandemic will push the economies of the South Caucasus into recession.

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— This story was published in issue 455 of the Central Asia & South Caucasus Bulletin, on July 31 2020.

— Copyright the Central Asia & South Caucasus Bulletin 2020

ADB says Georgia’s debt-to-GDP rate will soar

JUNE 19 (The Bulletin) — The Asian Development Bank (ADB) said that although Georgia has navigated through the impact of the coronavirus pretty well, so far, its debt-to-GDP ratio will still jump up to 62.5% this year compared to 44.5% last year. ADB country director, Shane Rosenthal, said that the economic downturn was also an opportunity for Georgian businesses to regenerate “more diversified and inclusive”. Georgia’s economy is set to contract by 5% this year because of the impact of the coronavirus.

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— This story was first published in issue 451 of the Central Asia & South Caucasus Bulletin, published on June 23 2020

— Copyright the Central Asia & South Caucasus Bulletin 2020

Kazakhstan cuts its interest rate to help business deal with the coronavirus

APRIL 3 (The Bulletin) — Having increased its key interest rate to 12% from 9.5% last month to try to prop up its ailing currency against the dual impact of a collapse in oil prices and the spread of the coronavirus, Kazakhstan’s  Central Bank slashed it back down to 9.5%.

It said that the interest rate cut was needed to help businesses emerge intact from the economic fallout of the coronavirus pandemic. 

Kazakhstan has also been one of the first countries in the region to admit that its economy may contract after the shock of the pandemic.

Kazakhstan’s deputy finance minister Berik Sholpankulov said that the government would borrow $3b on foreign capital markets to fund economic recovery projects which include a massive state-sponsored construction spree that will employ thousands of people.

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— This story was first published in issue 441 of the Central Asia & South Caucasus Bulletin

— Copyright the Central Asia & South Caucasus Bulletin 2020

Uzbekistan asks Asian Development Bank for loan

APRIL 1 (The Bulletin) — Uzbekistan asked the Asian Development Bank (ADB) for a $1b loan to help its economy deal with the shock of a protracted lockdown to defeat the coronavirus. The government had earlier said that it wants to set up a $1.1b fund to help business deal with the impact of the coronavirus. Pres. Shavkat Mirziyoyev has also said that he will cut taxes for businesses and the rates that people pay for electricity, water and gas. Alisher Usmanov, an ethnic Uzbek Russia-based billionaire, gave $20m to a charity building a new hospital to treat patients infected with COVID-19.

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— This story was first published in issue 441 of the Central Asia & South Caucasus Bulletin

— Copyright the Central Asia & South Caucasus Bulletin 2020

IMF agrees to give Kyrgyzstan a loan of $120m to deal with the coronavirus

MARCH 27 (The Bulletin) — The IMF responded to Kyrgyzstan’s pleas for aid by agreeing a loan of $120m to help its economy survive the impact of the coronavirus pandemic. Kyrgyz Pres. Sooronbai Jeenbekov said in an open letter to the IMF that without a loan, the country would struggle to recover from the economic hit. 

The Kyrgyz som lost 16% of its value against the US dollar highlighting the economic impact that the country was already taking.

The Central Bank had been expected to increase its key interest rate to try to dampen anticipated rising inflation but instead it decided to keep rates at 5% (March 31).

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— This story was first published in issue 441 of the Central Asia & South Caucasus Bulletin

— Copyright the Central Asia & South Caucasus Bulletin 2020

Kazakhstan wants to raise $500m on Russian bond market

FEB. 26 2020 (The Bulletin) — Kazakhstan plans to raise $500m on the Russian bond market over the next few months, Reuters reported by quoting Kazakh finance minister Alikhan Smailov. This is the first time that Kazakhstan has gone to the Russian debt market rather than the Western debt market to raise funds. Mr Smailov said that the Russian market was less of a foreign currency risk because the tenge and the rouble tend to move together and that debt was also cheaper when compared to the West.

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— This story was first published in issue 438 of the Central Asia & South Caucasus Bulletin

— Copyright the Central Asia & South Caucasus Bulletin 2020

Tajikistan says no to borrowing more cash to build Rogun dam

Aug. 2 (The Bulletin) — The Tajik government said that it setting up a special agency to raise money for its headline Rogun Dam project. In an interview with the Asia-Plus website, finance minister Faiziddin Kahhorzoda said that Tajikistan was looking for grants to pay for the rest of the $3.9b project rather than raising more debt. In 2017 it sold Eurobonds worth $500m to fund the dam.
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— This story was first published in issue 418 of the weekly Bulletin

Uzbekistan tests investor appetite for sovereign debt

FEB. 4 (The Conway Bulletin) — Uzbekistan is testing investor sentiment towards the possible issue of either a 5-year or 10-year sovereign debt issue, Bloomberg News reported. It said that Citigroup, JP Morgan Chase and Gazprombank had been hired for what would be Uzbekistan’s first bond issue. Last year, Uzbekistan was given its first sovereign debt rating.
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>This story was first published in issue 399 of The Conway Bulletin on Feb. 8 2019
Copyright The Conway Bulletin 2019

Uzbekistan prepares ground for first credit rating

TASHKENT/DEC. 21 (The Conway Bulletin) – Uzbekistan is making final preparations to issue a $500m bond in Q1 2019, sources told Reuters the day after the Fitch ratings agency had given Uzbekistan its first credit rating.

Uzbek officials have also appointed four banks — JP Morgan, Deutsche Bank, Citi and Gazprom Bank — as its advisers for the issue which will mark a high for President Shavkat Mirziyoyev. He took over as Uzbekistan’s president in September 2016 promising to open up the country after 25 years of rule by the reclusive Islam Karimov.

Speaking on condition of anonymity, one Reuters source said: “They (Uzbek officials) met with investors in late November and the feedback was positive from most.”

The Uzbek debt issue will give international investors looking for greater returns yet another chance to invest in Central Asia. Last year, Tajikistan issued its first debt and this year, Kazakhstan also issued debt.

Fitch’s rating of BB- for Uzbekistan is the same as Turkey, above Tajikistan but below Kazakhstan. Giving out its first sovereign rating, Fitch said that Uzbekistan had “embarked on an ambitious and comprehensive reform programme” but that there were risks.

“A fast-moving, complex and broad reform agenda create some concerns regarding coordination and institutional capacity of the public administration to effectively plan and execute policy measures while minimising economic distortions,” Fitch said.

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>>This story was first published in issue 395 of The Conway Bulletin on Dec. 23 2018