Tag Archives: politics

European Council president flies into Tbilisi to mediate in political standoff

MARCH 1 2021 (The Bulletin) — Charles Michael, President of the European Council, flew to Tbilisi to mediate in a political stand-off between the Georgian Dream coalition government and opposition forces, led by the United National Movement party (UNM ). The stand-off, which started in October after disputed parliamentary elections, intensified in February after the arrest of UNM leader Nika Melia and the resignation of Giorgi Gakharia as PM. At a negotiation session chaired by Mr Michael the opposition agreed to scale back protest plans in favour of more dialogue.

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— This story was published in issue 474 of the Central Asia & South Caucasus Bulletin, on March 5 2021

— Copyright the Central Asia & South Caucasus Bulletin 2021

Police in Almaty detain demonstrators

FEB. 28 2021  (The Bulletin) — Police in Almaty detained dozens of protesters who had been calling for the release of political prisoners in the largest anti-government demonstrations in Kazakhstan this year. In what has become fairly standard practice in Kazakhstan, police stopped protesters gathering in city centre squares and parks and detained leaders en route to the meetings. Activists have said that the right to protest barely exists in Kazakhstan.

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— This story was published in issue 474 of the Central Asia & South Caucasus Bulletin, on March 5 2021

— Copyright the Central Asia & South Caucasus Bulletin 2021

Uzbek police detain opposition leader

FEB. 28 2021 (The Bulletin) — Police in Uzbekistan detained Khidirnazar Allakulov, one of the country’s only opposition leaders, on the day that he was due to hold a meeting with supporters in Tashkent, raising questions over the authorities’ attitude towards political plurality. Uzbek President Shavkat Mirziyoyev has spoken of his mission to uphold democratic principles in Uzbekistan.

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— This story was published in issue 474 of the Central Asia & South Caucasus Bulletin, on March 5 2021

— Copyright the Central Asia & South Caucasus Bulletin 2021

Video shows senior Georgian Dream officials flouting coronavirus rules

FEB. 28 2021 (The Bulletin) — Video footage has emerged of senior officials in the ruling Georgian Dream coalition government flouting coronavirus rules at a party hosted at a property in Tbilisi owned by a millionaire donor. The footage, which was aired on an opposition-supporting TV channel, showed Georgian Dream party chairman  Irakli Kobakhidze and Tbilisi Mayor Kakha Kaladze socialising at the party without wearing masks and apparently ignoring social distancing rules.

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— This story was published in issue 474 of the Central Asia & South Caucasus Bulletin, on March 5 2021

— Copyright the Central Asia & South Caucasus Bulletin 2021

Comment — The politics of the portrait in Central Asia

FEB. 11 2021 (The Bulletin) —  Kyrgyz President Sadyr Japarov, the new boy in the Central Asia and South Caucasus leaders’ club, is playing portrait politics. He told officials this week that he didn’t want to see any fawning portraits of himself in their offices, in businesses around the country, schools or universities.

Japarov is keen to frame himself as a man of the people and he has clearly decided that the age-old custom of hanging portraits of the leader in offices is not something that he wants to go in for. 

But it is not as if his predecessor indulged it much, either. Sooronbai Jeenbekov, who Japarov deposed in a coup in October, appeared more modest than most of his Central Asian contemporaries and very few offices carried portraits of him.

The politics of the presidential portrait is one worth considering in Central Asia and the South Caucasus. It is a gauge of personality cults and how the elite want to project their legitimacy and, dare I say it, primacy over ordinary people.

In Kazakhstan, Nursultan Nazarbayev is still the only portrait hung in offices and official buildings. He is everywhere. His successor Kassym-Jomart Tokayev is nowhere and very much plays the role of appointed official to Nazarbayev’s First President of the Nation act. For Nazarbayev, his legacy based on building modern-day Kazakhstan is central to his self-image. And the portraits, as well as statues and the renamed capital city, reinforce this message.

In Uzbekistan, Tajikistan and Turkmenistan, leaders’ portraits are ubiquitous too. In Uzbekistan, based on pre-Soviet Khanate tradition, it is the custom to promote the image of the leader. In Tajikistan and Turkmenistan it is a different story. Tajik President Emomali Rakhmon and Turkmen President Kurbanguly Berdymukhamedov are busy building dynasties. Both men are grooming their sons as heirs and this requires legitimacy. Hence the portraits, reinforcing their self-styled images as the embodiment of the nation.

Azerbaijan has already established dynastic rule. Ilham Aliyev took over from his father, Heydar, in 2003 and he is careful to remind ordinary people of this dynastic legitimacy by encouraging offices to hang both his portrait and the portrait of his father on the wall.

As for Armenia and Georgia, the leaders eschew portraits. They are also, the least stable countries in the region, other than Kyrgyzstan.

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— This story was first published in issue 471 of the Central Asia & South Caucasus Bulletin

— Copyright the Central Asia & South Caucasus Bulletin 2021

Successor chosen to replace Ivanishvili

JAN. 16 2021 (The Bulletin) — The ruling Georgian Dream elected Irakli Kobakhidze, known for his loyalty to party founder Bidzina Ivanishvili, to be its new chairman. Mr Kobakhidze is a former speaker of parliament. Mr Ivanishvili said on Jan. 11 that he was stepping down as chairman of the Georgian Dream, although analysts have said that he is likely to continue to play a key backroom role.

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— This story was first published in issue 469 of the Central Asia & South Caucasus Bulletin

— Copyright the Central Asia & South Caucasus Bulletin 2021

Police in Georgia arrest anti-government protesters

JAN. 16 2021 (The Bulletin) — Police in Tbilisi arrested nine people during a protest outside the building hosting a party conference by the ruling Georgian Dream coalition. Scuffles broke out after police tried to stop demonstrators unfurling a banner accusing the Georgian Dream of stealing a parliamentary election last year. Opposition groups in Georgia have refused to take their seats in parliament and have promised to continue protests.

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— This story was first published in issue 469 of the Central Asia & South Caucasus Bulletin

— Copyright the Central Asia & South Caucasus Bulletin 2021

Comment: New year starts off with new elections in Kyrgyzstan and Kazakhstan

JAN. 8 2021 (The Bulletin) —  So, the New Year is set to start in Central Asia with two political stability tests. A parliamentary election in Kazakhstan and a presidential election in Kyrgyzstan, both scheduled for Jan. 10, will provide early litmus tests on the stability of both countries and also the popularity of their current governments.

In both countries the incumbents will win. Parties supporting Pres. Kassym-Jomart Tokayev will win a majority in the Kazakh parliament, as they always do, and Kyrgyzstan’s Acting-President Sadyr Japrov will win a contest to be sworn in as full president for a single seven-year term.

Neither elections are good adverts for democracy in the region. Opposition groups have effectively been banned from standing in the Kazakh election, and there is a chance that protests will occur in an increasingly restless Almaty.

In Kyrgyzstan, Japarov will be elected on a popular ticket but he is also using his popularity to bend Kyrgyzstan’s constitution to his will. People in Kyrgyzstan will be asked to vote on two issues on Jan. 10. As well as who they want to become president, voters will have to vote on whether they want to change the country’s constitution, as pushed for by Japarov, to boost the power of the president at the expense of parliament.

This is where the controversy lies. By pushing for these tweaks, Japarov, who was freed from jail during a coup in October and quickly installed as Acting-President, is essentially tearing up a constitution sponsored by the West and adopted after a revolution in 2010. It was supposed to safeguard democracy in Kyrgyzstan and turn it into a beacon for the rights of ordinary people in a region dominated by autocrats. Instead it looks to be heading to the scrap heap.

Western influence in Kyrgyzstan has diminished and shrivelled since the US withdrew its airbase from outside Bishkek in 2014. During the coup in October, Western diplomats had to look on, warning of the threat to democracy by the ascent of Japarov through street-level politics. Now they are looking on as he manipulates the constitution to strengthen his position.

Japarov has argued that the parliamentary democracy system was imposed on Kyrgyzstan by well-meaning but misguided intelligentsia types who lived in central Bishkek and didn’t understand the country. He said that Kyrgyzstan was too young to adopt parliamentary democracy. There may be some truth in this but more accurate may be that the country is just too corrupt and the West didn’t put in the effort to ensure the survival of the political system that it advocated.

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— This story was first published in issue 467 of the Central Asia & South Caucasus Bulletin

— Copyright the Central Asia & South Caucasus Bulletin 2021

Kyrgyzstan’s MPs vote in amnesty for corrupt wealth

BISHKEK/DEC. 23 2020 (The Bulletin) —  Kyrgyzstan’s parliament voted into law an amnesty for people who enriched themselves through corruption and theft in exchange for giving some of their assets to the state.

Supporters of the government’s amnesty said that it will boost resources and also cut the size of the shadow economy. Its detractors, though, said that the main aim was to provide cover for Raimbek Matraimov, the former deputy head of Kyrgyzstan’s customs service, who is accused of corruption and stealing hundreds of millions of dollars.

Mr Matraimov, whose assets have been frozen in the United States, has, it has been reported, already agreed to pay back 2b som ($25m).

Analysts have said that the Kyrgyz elite may be so eager to give protection to Mr Matraimov because he could easily implicate others.

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— This story was first published in issue 467 of the Central Asia & South Caucasus Bulletin

— Copyright the Central Asia & South Caucasus Bulletin 2021

Armenian opposition leader continues to do business despite arrest threat

JULY 29 (The Bulletin) — Gagik Tsarukyan, the leader of the opposition Prosperous Armenia Party (PAP), has been meeting with business leaders and promising to support their efforts to stave off a recession linked to the spread of the coronavirus, media reported. This is important because at the end of last month it had appeared that prosecutors were building a case to arrest Mr Tsarukyan, one of Armenia’s richest men, on various corruption allegations.

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— This story was published in issue 455 of the Central Asia & South Caucasus Bulletin, on July 31 2020.

— Copyright the Central Asia & South Caucasus Bulletin 2020