Tag Archives: Azerbaijan

Armenians and Azerbaijanis brawl in Russia

MOSCOW/JULY 24 (The Bulletin) — Armenians and Azerbaijanis in Moscow and St Petersburg fought and brawled in the streets as tension spilled over from fighting around the disputed region of Nagorno-Karabakh in the South Caucasus. 

AP reported that police in St Petersburg had detained dozens of people during the street fighting. In Moscow, police said that they had also detained 30 people. 

Russia is a major destination for migrant workers from Central Asia and the South Caucasus, including people from Armenia and Azerbaijan. The neighbours have officially been at war over the disputed region of Nagorno-Karabakh since the early 1990s, although a 1994 UN-imposed ceasefire has mainly held a shaky peace. 

The fighting in mid-July killed an estimated 15 soldiers and was the worst for four years.

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— This story was published in issue 455 of the Central Asia & South Caucasus Bulletin, on July 31 2020.

— Copyright the Central Asia & South Caucasus Bulletin 2020

Azerbaijani authorities warn of coronavirus second wave

JUNE 21 (The Bulletin) — The authorities in Azerbaijan said that they may be dealing with a second wave of coronavirus infections after a spike forced the reintroduction of lockdown restrictions for two weeks. People have been told to stay at home, once again, and only leave after receiving permission from the authorities via SMS. Azerbaijan has recorded 14,305 coronavirus cases and 174 deaths.

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— This story was first published in issue 451 of the Central Asia & South Caucasus Bulletin, published on June 23 2020

— Copyright the Central Asia & South Caucasus Bulletin 2020

Tourism dries up in Azerbaijan

JUNE 22 (The Bulletin) — Data from Azerbaijan’s statistics agency showed the impact of the coronavirus lockdown on the tourist industry. It said that in the first five months of the year, the number of tourists in Azerbaijan halved to 563,000. Most of Azerbaijan’s tourists arrive from Russia, Georgia and Turkey but a growing market is tourists from the Middle East. Tourist numbers are proportionally likely to fall further through the year.

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— This story was first published in issue 451 of the Central Asia & South Caucasus Bulletin, published on June 23 2020

— Copyright the Central Asia & South Caucasus Bulletin 2020

Azerbaijan cuts interest rates

JUNE 19 (The Bulletin) — Azerbaijan’s Central Bank cut its core interest rate to 7% from 7.25% because of a drop in inflationary pressure. Like the rest of the region, Azerbaijan’s economy is expected to contract this year because of the impact of a lockdown designed to suppress the spread of the coronavirus.

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— This story was first published in issue 451 of the Central Asia & South Caucasus Bulletin, published on June 23 2020

— Copyright the Central Asia & South Caucasus Bulletin 2020

ADB cuts growth rates for the South Caucasus

JUNE 18 (The Bulletin) — The Asian Development Bank (ABD) joined other international finances institutions in cutting its expected growth rates for the economies of the South Caucasus because of the impact of lockdowns imposed to stop the spread of the coronavirus. It said that Georgia’s economy would now contract by 4.9%, Armenia’s would shrink by 3.5% and Azerbaijan’s by 0.1%.

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— This story was first published in issue 451 of the Central Asia & South Caucasus Bulletin, published on June 23 2020

— Copyright the Central Asia & South Caucasus Bulletin 2020

Azerbaijan failed to highlight impact of the coronavirus

APRIL 5 (The Bulletin) — Azerbaijan’s government has been quiet on the impact of the coronavirus pandemic on its projected growth figures for 2020. It has unveiled a multi-million dollar aid programme to help businesses get through the economic downturn and has also set up a fund which is being supported by government agencies and large private companies such as banks. 

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— This story was first published in issue 441 of the Central Asia & South Caucasus Bulletin

— Copyright the Central Asia & South Caucasus Bulletin 2020

Azerbaijan imposes strict coronavirus lockdown

APRIL 5 (The Bulletin) — Azerbaijan said that there were now 584 people infected with the coronavirus, up 63 from the day before. Since March 29, Azerbaijan has put in place one of the strictest lockdowns with people only allowed to leave their homes once they have sent a request into a police control centre. 

City parks have been closed. People can only leave their home to buy food, medicine and to walk a dog. The Baku city metro has been closed.

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— This story was first published in issue 441 of the Central Asia & South Caucasus Bulletin

— Copyright the Central Asia & South Caucasus Bulletin 2020

Coronavirus undermines region’s projected growth

ALMATY/April 5 (The Bulletin) — The coronavirus will undermine what had looked like a strong year of economic growth in 2020 and instead knock the Central Asia and South Caucasus region into a recession.

Of the six countries in the region that have declared states-of-emergencies and infections of the coronavirus, only Kazakhstan has officially said that its economy will shrink in 2020 but analysts expect others to follow.

Kazakh economy minister Ruslan Dalenov said on April 2 that the combined impact of the coronavirus and a fall in oil prices mean that Kazakhstan’s economy will shrink by 0.9% in 2020.

Oil is Kazakhstan’s main export and with prices dropping by 40% to around $35/barrel because of a price war and a drop in demand triggered by the spread of COVID-19, the disease caused by the coronavirus, Mr Dalenov said oil exports would fall.

“A decrease is also expected compared to previously approved growth rates in the manufacturing industry, agriculture, construction and the services sector, including trade,” he said. 

Kazakhstan had previously predicted GDP growth of 4.5% for 2020. It last went into a recession in 2016 after a previous oil price collapse.

In Armenia, the Central Bank is still predicting GDP growth this year but only of 0.7%, down from an earlier prediction of 7.6%.

Other countries have held off giving predictions on the economic cost of the spread of the coronavirus although they have all said that their original growth estimates are likely to be heavily reduced.

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— This story was first published in issue 441 of the Central Asia & South Caucasus Bulletin

— Copyright the Central Asia & South Caucasus Bulletin 2020

Central Asia and the South Caucasus tighten coronavirus lockdowns

YEREVAN/April 5 (The Bulletin) — Battling to stop the spread of the coronavirus, governments in Central Asia and the South Caucasus intensified lockdowns that ban people from leaving their homes.

At least 17 people have died across the region with the COVID-19 disease caused by the coronavirus, although analysts think the real figure could be many more. Health ministries and international donors are now worried that the region’s underfunded and under-resourced hospitals and health systems will buckle if there is a surge in infections.

On March 26, Armenian deputy PM Mher Grigoryan appeared to betray his nervousness about whether Armenia’s health service could cope with rising infections.

“We have an obvious problem, which is outstanding everywhere else in the world and it is important to solve here in Armenia,” he was quoted as saying. “It is the modernisation and re-equipment of the healthcare system. Here, too, we must take measures.”

In the region, only Tajikistan and Turkmenistan have not reported any infections, to the derision of observers who think it is unlikely that either country has escaped the coronavirus that has been ripping across the world since it appeared in central China in December. 

Armenia and Kazakhstan have been worst hit by the coronavirus, with 822 and 569 people infected by April 5, but Kyrgyzstan appears to be most vulnerable economically. Kyrgyz President Sooronbai Jeenbekov has already asked for emergency financial support from the IMF.

As for the intensified lockdowns, the Kazakh authorities have told people that they can only leave their homes every other day and in Azerbaijan people have to notify the police via an app or an SMS if they are going out onto the street.

In Armenia, where PM Nikol Pashinyan had only a few weeks ago said that the coronavirus could easily be beaten, the government has ordered all businesses, restaurants and cafes to close until at least April 10.

He has been criticised for holding referendum campaign rallies in March that may have contributed to the spread of the coronavirus.

“Compared to Azerbaijan and Georgia, our corona infection stats are higher. Am I the first to say that the reason for this is the referendum campaign?” said Samvel Grigoryan, a public health analyst. 

A referendum on the status of the country’s top judges had been set for April 5. This has now been postponed.

Armenia’s government has said that the rate of infection is slowing, but people told The Bulletin’s correspondent that they are worried.

“We need to obey,” said Margarita Aghayan, 56, who is confined to her two-room apartment in a Yerevan suburb with her husband, her daughter and granddaughter.

“I feel very scared. I feel horror. I am scared of the people who don’t take this seriously.”

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— This story was first published in issue 441 of the Central Asia & South Caucasus Bulletin

— Copyright the Central Asia & South Caucasus Bulletin 2020

Azerbaijan frees journalist who says he was abducted from Tbilisi

MARCH 27 (The Bulletin) — Afgan Mukhtarli, the Azerbaijani journalist freed from prison in Baku last month, once again accused the Georgian government of colluding with Azerbaijan’s government over his abduction from Tbilisi and subsequent arrest in 2017.  “If they admit that I really was kidnapped in Georgia and handed over to the Azerbaijani authorities illegally, that could result in the resignation of the Georgian government,” he told the GlobalVoices website. Mr Mukhtarli was jailed for crossing a border illegally, charges he said were actually linked to his critical journalism. He has fled to Tbilisi from Baku in 2014.

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— This story was first published in issue 441 of the Central Asia & South Caucasus Bulletin

— Copyright the Central Asia & South Caucasus Bulletin 2020