Tag Archives: international relations

Comment: Cameron tours Central Asia to secure migrant labour routes

APRIL 23 2024 (The Bulletin) — The British government has framed David Cameron’s trip to Central Asia as a push to persuade the region’s leaders to take a pro-West stance on global affairs, particularly around the war in Ukraine.

But this is only part of the British foreign minister’s visit. The other part is strengthening labour migration routes.

Over the past four years, Britain has turned to Central Asia to plug labour gaps created by Brexit. It has set up schemes to import migrant workers, particularly from Tajikistan and Kyrgyzstan, to Britain to pick fruit, the sort of job that workers from the Baltics were doing until Brexit made it far more difficult.

Either way, it is a win for the West as the more contact there is between Britain and Central Asia, the more chance there is of breaking down Russia’s hold over the region.

On another level, it has been an awkward trip for Cameron, having to pose for photos with Kyrgz Pres. Sadyr Japarov after he imposed Kremlin-inspired laws that make operations for Western-backed media and NGOs far harder.

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— This story was published in issue 565 of the Central Asia & South Caucasus Bulletin, on April 23 2024

— Copyright the Central Asia & South Caucasus Bulletin 2024

Comment: Tokayev flies to Yerevan

APRIL 23 2024 (The Bulletin) — Armenia is in the midst of an almighty row with the Kremlin over security issues in the South Caucasus and its diplomatic move towards the West.

This means that Kazakh Pres. Kassym Jomart Tokayev’s trip and the promise of more business deals with Armenia can be read two ways. 

Was it a subtle show of support for Armenia’s position on global affairs? Or was Tokayev acting as a Kremlin envoy, carrying a message to Nikol Pashinyan, the Armenian PM?

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— This story was published in issue 565 of the Central Asia & South Caucasus Bulletin, on April 23 2024

— Copyright the Central Asia & South Caucasus Bulletin 2024

Aliyev meets Putin in Kremlin days after Russian soldiers quit Nagorno-Karabakh

BAKU/YEREVAN/APRIL 22 2024 (The Bulletin) — Ilham Aliyev, Azerbaijan’s president, flew to Moscow to meet with Vladimir Putin, Russia’s leader, five days after the Kremlin pulled 2,000 Russian soldiers out of Nagorno-Karabakh.

Under a 2020 peace agreement between Azerbaijan and Armenia, the soldiers had a mandate to remain in the disputed region until 2025 but the Kremlin said that they were no longer needed. 

“Geopolitical realities in the region have changed and there are no more operational functions left for them,” said Dmitry Peskov, the Kremlin spokesman. Instead, the soldiers will redeploy to Russia’s war in Ukraine.

In the Kremlin, Mr Aliyev and Mr Putin shook hands and smiled warmly for the camera. They said that they had discussed “regional security” but did not reference Nagorno-Karabakh or the war in Ukraine.

Analysts have said that Russia’s withdrawal from Nagorno-Karabakh either represents a weakening of the Kremlin’s influence in the region or the emergence of a security pact between Baku and Moscow.

Armenian officials have accused Russia of betrayal and Nikol Pashinyan, the Armenian PM, has said that he wants to leave the Kremlin’s CSTO security pact. 

Azerbaijan recaptured the whole of Nagorno-Karabakh in September when a lightning-quick strike grabbed Stepanakert, the rebel capital. Around 120,000 ethnic Armenians fled after the attack and Yerevan has accused Azerbaijan of ethnic cleansing.

On April 16, Armenia lodged an ethnic cleansing case against Azerbaijan with the Hague-based International Court of Justice.

Armenia has also agreed to transfer four villages demanded by Azerbaijan, a move described as an important milestone towards peace. Mr Aliyev had demanded the villages because he said that, historically, they were Azerbaijani. 

The decision to hand over the villages has triggered protests but the Armenian government said it cuts the risk of war with Azerbaijan.

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— This story was published in issue 565 of the Central Asia & South Caucasus Bulletin, on April 23 2024

— Copyright the Central Asia & South Caucasus Bulletin 2024

UK foreign minister goes on “grand tour” of Central Asia

APRIL 22 2024 (The Bulletin) — David Cameron, Britain’s foreign minister, started a “Grand Tour” of Central Asia designed to win backing for migrant labour deals from the region’s presidents and persuade them to support the West over the Kremlin. Lord Cameron becomes the first British foreign minister to visit Tajikistan, Kyrgyzstan and Turkmenistan, highlighting the increased importance of the region. Britain has been trying to plug Brexit labour shortages with migrants from Central Asia.

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— This story was published in issue 565 of the Central Asia & South Caucasus Bulletin, on April 23 2024

— Copyright the Central Asia & South Caucasus Bulletin 2024

Iran, Russia and Azerbaijan to link power grids

APRIL 21 2024 (The Bulletin) — Iran’s energy ministry said that a project to link the Iranian, Azerbaijani and Russian power grids will start towards the end of the year. The deal is seen as important by Iran because it can import much-needed electricity to its northern regions. Russia has pushed the project as part of its improved relations with Iran since it invaded Ukraine. The three countries have also been working on a south-north trade corridor.

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— This story was published in issue 565 of the Central Asia & South Caucasus Bulletin, on April 23 2024

— Copyright the Central Asia & South Caucasus Bulletin 2024

Uzbeksitan, Tajikistan take alliance “to next level”

APRIL 18 2024 (The Bulletin) — In Dushanbe, the presidents of Uzbekistan and Tajikistan signed deals which they said placed their alliance at the “highest level”. The deal is set to improve bilateral relations across a range of sectors from tourism to agriculture. Bilateral relations between Tajikistan and Uzbekistan had been poor until Shavkat Mirziyoyev took over as Uzbek president in 2016 from the paranoid Islam Karimov.

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— This story was published in issue 565 of the Central Asia & South Caucasus Bulletin, on April 23 2024

— Copyright the Central Asia & South Caucasus Bulletin 2024

EU to send “non-lethal” aid to Armenia

APRIL 17 2024 (The Bulletin) — The EU agreed to send “non-lethal” military aid to Armenia for the first time, part of increasingly tight ties. Under the agreement, Armenia will send 10m euros under the European Peace Facility (EPF) which will finance battalion-sized field camps and army medical centres. Last month the EU pledged 270m euros to Armenia to strengthen business and society against Russian influence. ENDS

— This story was published in issue 565 of the Central Asia & South Caucasus Bulletin, on April 23 2024

— Copyright the Central Asia & South Caucasus Bulletin 2024

Migrant flow from Tajikistan to Russia has picked up, says airline

DUSHANBE/APRIL 17 2024 (The Bulletin) — Migrant flows from Dushanbe to Moscow have picked up since a drop after a terrorist attack in Moscow, Tajik media quoted aviation officials as saying.

This is important because Tajik officials had reported that thousands of Tajik workers wanted to leave Russia at the end of March because of an increase in xenophobic attacks and pressure from the police. 

Remittances sent back by workers in Russia are vital for the Tajik economy, making up around 25% of its GDP.

An official for Somon Air, a Tajik airline, said that by the end of April passenger traffic between Tajikistan and Russia should have returned to normal.

“We’re seeing a trend towards an increase in passenger traffic in the direction of Russia and back compared with the figures two weeks ago,” the official said. 

Somon Air operates between 130 and 140 flights per month between Russia and Tajikistan.

Police arrested four Tajik men for killing at least 144 people at a rock concert in Moscow on March 22, the worst terrorist attack in Russia for 20 years.

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— This story was published in issue 565 of the Central Asia & South Caucasus Bulletin, on April 23 2024

— Copyright the Central Asia & South Caucasus Bulletin 2024

Tajikistan cuts visa-free access to Turks

APRIL 16 2024 (The Bulletin) — Tajikistan said that it would now impose visa conditions on Turkish citizens after Turkey cancelled its visa-free regime for Tajiks. Turkey cancelled visa-free access to Tajiks after a terrorist attack in Moscow in March that has been blamed on Tajik migrant workers. Turkey is an important source of work for Tajik workers and analysts said that the visa ban would be economically painful.

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— This story was published in issue 565 of the Central Asia & South Caucasus Bulletin, on April 23 2024

— Copyright the Central Asia & South Caucasus Bulletin 2024

France recalls ambassador to Azerbaijan

APRIL 16 2024 (The Bulletin) — France recalled its ambassador in Baku after accusing Azerbaijan of deliberately damaging relations. France is a staunch supporter of Armenia and has boosted military supplies since Azerbaijan recaptured all of the disputed region of Nagorno-Karabakh last year. Azerbaijan has refused to take part in peace negotiations mediated by France. French intelligence officials have accused Azerbaijan of spreading disinformation about the Olympic Games due to be held in Paris.

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— This story was published in issue 565 of the Central Asia & South Caucasus Bulletin, on April 23 2024

— Copyright the Central Asia & South Caucasus Bulletin 2024