Tag Archives: business

Kazakhstan increases arbitration claim against international oil companies

ALMATY/APRIL 17 2024 (The Bulletin) — Kazakhstan has increased an arbitration claim initially lodged last year against international energy companies to more than $150b, sources told Reuters. 

The claims, focused on the Kashagan and Karachaganak oil and gas fields, are based on alleged lost income by Kazakhstan. The increase from $16.5b makes the arbitration claim one of the world’s biggest.

Reuters quoted a “source with knowledge” of the case as saying that the new litigation claim “reflected the calculation of the value of oil production that was promised to the government but not delivered by the field developers”.

Kazakh officials and Western oil companies have not commented on the new figure, although they confirmed that they are involved with unspecified attribution proceedings.

Kashagan and Karachaganak are two of Kazakhstan’s biggest oil and gas fields. Both have been the focus of legal disputes with the Kazakh government previously. Kazakh officials have said they were unfairly dealt with in the 1990s when oil companies were making deals to exploit fields in newly independent former Soviet states.

In 2020, the Karachaganak partners paid out $1.9b to settle an arbitration dispute with Kazakhstan. Kazmunaigas, the Kazakh state oil and gas company, is now a shareholder in both projects.

Analysts have said that arbitration claims are part of the risk of doing business in Kazakhstan and that international companies factor this risk into their costs.

The specifics of the current dispute have not been disclosed, although Kazakh officials have said that it is a purely commercial dispute that will be settled through the courts.

“The sides are going to resolve it within the arbitration framework,” the Kazakh energy ministry said.

Italy’s Eni is the main developer at Kashagan and also at Karachaganak, alongside Shell.

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— This story was published in issue 565 of the Central Asia & South Caucasus Bulletin, on April 23 2024

— Copyright the Central Asia & South Caucasus Bulletin 2024

Turkmenistan opens new road to boost trade

APRIL 17 2024 (The Bulletin) — Turkmenistan opened a 109km section of road linking the cities of Mary and Tedzhen in the south of the country that officials said would boost trade.

Pres. Serdar Berdymukhamedov described the Ashgabat-Turkmenabat road, which aims to carry products imported from East Asia to Europe, as a new “Silk Road”.

Work on the 600km Ashgabat-Turkmenabat highway across the Karakum Desert began in 2019. Turkmenabat lies on Turkmenistan’s northern border with Uzbekistan.

Like other countries in Central Asia, Turkmenistan has benefited from a boom in East-West trade since the start of the war in Ukraine and in particular an increase of trade between Russia and Iran. Russia has been buying drones from Iran, which are shipped across the Caspian Sea, and has sent back fuel on rail, through Central Asia.

This week too, Russian officials said that they were interested in restarting the Moscow-Ashgabat passenger railway route which was closed in 1993.

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— This story was published in issue 565 of the Central Asia & South Caucasus Bulletin, on April 23 2024

— Copyright the Central Asia & South Caucasus Bulletin 2024

BP opens new oil platform in Azerbaijani sector of Caspian Sea

BAKU/APRIL 16 2024 (The Bulletin) — BP started oil production at a new platform at its main oil field in the Azerbaijani sector of the Caspian Sea, its first in 16 years.

The Azeri Central East platform (ACE) is the seventh in the Azer-Chirag-Gunashli field (ACG) which has been the mainstay of Azerbaijan’s oil production since 1997.

“ACE is increasing Azerbaijan’s oil production and helping to make the most of a maturing field. It’s giving both BP and Azerbaijan the opportunity to get more value from existing fields and assets,” said Ruhali Imanov, the commissioning superintendent on the platform.

Ilham Aliyev, Azerbaijan’s president, has pressured BP for years to reverse declining production rates at ACG. 

Its output is expected to increase by 24,000 barrels per day this year to around 430,000 barrels per day as two more wells come on stream. Peak production at ACG was around 1m barrels per day in 2010. 

BP said that the new ACE platform would produce 100,000 barrels of oil per day at its peak.

“One of its exciting features is the location of the control room onshore rather than on the platform, a first for both the region and for BP,” said BP. 

In 2019, the ACG shareholders pledged to boost production with a $6b development plan.

The first oil from ACG was produced in 1997. 

BP is the biggest shareholder in ACG with a stake of 30.4%, followed by Azerbaijani state oil company Socar with a 25% stake.

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— This story was published in issue 565 of the Central Asia & South Caucasus Bulletin, on April 23 2024

— Copyright the Central Asia & South Caucasus Bulletin 2024

Comment: Tourism needs to be treated with care

APRIL 15 2024 (The Bulletin) — Tourism is changing Central Asia and the South Caucasus forever. Of course in the short term, it will bring wealth and spur new business but the long-term risks need assessing too.

The concerns are that tourism accelerates inflation and changes communities by facilitating a huge influx of people and massive construction projects. Georgia and Uzbekistan in particular need to proceed with caution.

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— This story was published in issue 564 of the Central Asia & South Caucasus Bulletin, on April 15 2024

— Copyright the Central Asia & South Caucasus Bulletin 2024

Markets: Kazakh Central Bank decides against interest rate cut

APRIL 16  2024 (The Bulletin) — The Kazakh tenge shifted up by 0.6% after the Kazakh Central Bank decided not to cut interest rates against market expectation. It is now trading at 448.4/$1, recovering from around 476/$1 six months ago.

The Central Bank said that inflation in March measured an annualised 9.1% which was slightly above expectations and that although global grain prices were recovering from the shock of the war in Ukraine, domestic pressures were keeping prices high.

“The domestic economy is still under inflationary pressure due to strong domestic demand and unanchored inflation expectations,” it said. Kazakhstan’s Central Bank targets inflation of 5%.

In equities, analysts said that heavy flooding in north and west Kazakhstan had spooked investors who had sold off stock in Kaspi.kz, the Kazakhstan fintech company which owns a super-app that most Kazakhs use to pay bills, pay taxes and buy consumer products.

It traded down as low as $103 in the past week, having hit a high of $123 after listing on the New York Stock Exchange in January. 

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— This story was published in issue 564 of the Central Asia & South Caucasus Bulletin, on April 15 2024

— Copyright the Central Asia & South Caucasus Bulletin 2024

Police raid Bishkek bars

APRIL 14 2024 (The Bulletin) — Police in Bishkek raided two popular Bishkek bars, Ailan and Plur.Plur.Plur, and detained several people for drug tests, witnesses said. Analysts have said that the raid may be linked to the Kyrgyz government’s drive to clamp down on liberal segments of society. It has introduced a “foreign agents” law to monitor more closely NGOs and media that received funding from the West.

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— This story was published in issue 564 of the Central Asia & South Caucasus Bulletin, on April 15 2024

— Copyright the Central Asia & South Caucasus Bulletin 2024

Tokayev cancels Astana International Forum

ALMATY/APRIL 13 2024 (The Bulletin) — Kazakh Pres. Kassym Jomart Tokayev cancelled his set piece Astana International Forum because of heavy floods in the north and west of the country.

He said that it would be inappropriate to host the annual event after what he has described as the worst snowmelt floods in 80 years forced thousands of people to flee.

In a Tweet, Mr Tokayev said that the priority for Kazakhstan was to “save financial resources to eliminate the consequences of large-scale destruction and provide assistance to the citizens of the country”.

The Astana International Forum was first held in 2008 and is used by the Kazakh government to show off the country to various international dignitaries. Only the Covid pandemic had previously forced the forum to be cancelled.

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— This story was published in issue 564 of the Central Asia & South Caucasus Bulletin, on April 15 2024

— Copyright the Central Asia & South Caucasus Bulletin 2024

Georgia signs visa waiver deal with China

APRIL 11 2024 (The Bulletin) — Georgia and China signed a mutual visa waiver designed to boost tourism and business links. Under the new rules, Chinese citizens will be allowed to stay in Georgia for 30 days without a visa. China has looked to boost relations with Georgia over the past few years as it sees the country as a waypoint on its Belt and Road trade route to Europe. It has set up an airline in Tbilisi and laid on direct flights from several Chinese cities.

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— This story was published in issue 564 of the Central Asia & South Caucasus Bulletin, on April 15 2024

— Copyright the Central Asia & South Caucasus Bulletin 2024

CPC pipeline reopens after shut down

APRIL 11  2024 (The Bulletin) — The 1,511km CPC oil pipeline resumed exports after a scheduled two-day shutdown at its export harbour at the Russian port of Novorossiysk in the Black Sea. CPC is vital for Western oil supplies and is exempt from international sanctions even though it travels across Russia from West Kazakhstan. CPC plans to export 70m tonnes of oil this year, up from 63m tonnes last year.

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— This story was published in issue 564 of the Central Asia & South Caucasus Bulletin, on April 15 2024

— Copyright the Central Asia & South Caucasus Bulletin 2024

Electricity prices in Kazakhstan rise by 26%

APRIL 10 2024 (The Bulletin) — Electricity prices in Kazakhstan have risen by 26% this year compared to 2023, Kazakh media reported. Electricity prices are sensitive and can trigger protests but governments have said that massive investment is needed in power generation capacity to meet increased demand. Several power stations in Kazakhstan broke down this year because of increased demand triggered by a cold winter.

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— This story was published in issue 564 of the Central Asia & South Caucasus Bulletin, on April 15 2024

— Copyright the Central Asia & South Caucasus Bulletin 2024