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GM sells cars in Uzbek soum

JUNE 2 2017 (The Bulletin) — GM Uzbekistan, a joint-venture between the US’ GM and state- owned Uzavtosanoat, started selling its cars in Uzbek soum for the first time, Reuters reported, rolling back a Karimov-era policy that insisted that the cars were sold in US dollars. Karimov was Uzbek president from 1991 until his death in September 2016. His successor, Shavkat Mirziyoyev, has promised to liberalise Uzbekistan’s economy. Karimov had wanted cars sold in soum in order to bring more foreign currency into the country.

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Copyright ©Central Asia & South Caucasus Bulletin — all rights reserved

(News report from Issue No. 331, published on June 5 2017)

 

BP to sign Azerbaijan-Chirag-Guneshli extension

MAY 31 2017 (The Bulletin) — BP expects to sign an extension to its production sharing agreement for the Azeri-Chirag-Guneshli oil fields (ACG) in the Azerbaijani section of the Caspian Sea by the end of June, its regional head, Gary Jones, told media. ACG is Azerbaijan’s biggest oil field system. The current contract expires in 2024 and a new contract is expected to cover until 2050. The contract extension has been expected.

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(News report from Issue No. 331, published on June 5 2017)

 

Tajikistan boosts trade with Afghanistan

JUNE 2 2017 (The Bulletin) — Trade between Tajikistan and Afghanistan has increased considerably over the past few years, Tajik transport minister Khudoyorzoda Khudoyor said on a visit to Kabul. This is important for Western strategists who have tried to promote trade between Central Asia and Afghanistan and Pakistan as way to impose a lasting peace in the region. Specifically, Mr Khudoyor said that Tajikistan had exported $74m of goods to Afghanistan in the first four months of the year, including $11m worth of cement.

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(News report from Issue No. 331, published on June 5 2017)

 

International Crisis Group warns that Armenia and Azerbaijan are close to war

JUNE 2 2017 (The Bulletin) — Armenia and Azerbaijan are closer to all-out war over disputed Nagorno- Karabakh than at any time since a 1994 ceasefire was agreed, the influential think tank International Crisis Group wrote.

This is just the latest warning, although it is also one of the most high-profile, that a conflict around Nagorno-Karabakh has become a real possibility.

“Both sides, backed by mobilised constituencies, appear ready for confrontation,” the ICG wrote. “These tensions could develop into larger- scale conflict, leading to significant civilian casualties and possibly prompting the main regional powers to intervene.”

Russia maintains a large military base in Armenia, while Turkey is one of Azerbaijan’s biggest allies.

ICG said since fighting in April 2016, tension around the region has worsened

“Since mid-January 2017, deadly incidents involving the use of heavy artillery and antitank weapons have occurred with varying degrees of intensity; May saw a significant increase, including reports of self- guided rockets and missiles used near densely populated areas,” it wrote.

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Copyright ©Central Asia & South Caucasus Bulletin — all rights reserved

(News report from Issue No. 331, published on June 5 2017)

 

Kyrgyz MPs curtail vote monitors

BISHKEK, MAY 31 2017 (The Bulletin) — With less than five months to go before a presidential election Kyrgyzstan’s parliament voted to impose restrictions on election observers.

NGOs and democracy activists immediately criticised amendments to the election laws as authoritarian but its proponents said it was a necessary step to improve and streamline the voting process.

The row focused on the scrapping of two paragraphs from the election code which had stated that election monitors had the right to move around polling stations and flag up potential violations.

Dinara Oshurahunova, who works at the Kyrgyz NGO Coalition for Democracy and Civil Society said monitors needed to move around during voting to operate effectively.

“There are nearly 2,300 polling stations, and usually we are able to send 500 to 600 independent observers, and public observers,” she told The Bulletin’s Bishkek correspondent.

“They have to cover more than one station in a day.”

Western election monitors have often held up Kyrgyzstan as an example of democracy in former Soviet Central Asia, but supporters of the election law changes said monitors needed to be restricted because they were often funded by foreign governments and there was a risk they would influence elections.

Kyrgyz vote on Oct. 15 in a presidential election that promises to be a tightly fought affair. President Almazbek Atambayev is stepping down after a single term in office, as stipulated by the constitution. His Social Democratic Party has put up PM Sooronbay Jeenbekov to be its candidate. He will face at least two other former PMs in the vote.

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Copyright ©Central Asia & South Caucasus Bulletin — all rights reserved

(News report from Issue No. 331, published on June 5 2017)

 

Kazakhstan only wants Syria talks to help peace

 ASTANA , JUNE 5 2017 (The Bulletin) — Kazakhstan’s only ambition for its role in hosting peace talks focused on the war in Syria is to find a peaceful solution, deputy foreign minister Roman Vassilenko told The Bulletin in an interview.

He rejected views put out by some commentators that Kazakh President Nursultan Nazarbayev was using the process to burnish Astana’s image as an alternative to Geneva for peace negotiations.

“We are not doing this for reputation, this is secondary. The primary thing with Syria for us is to help end the bloodshed,” he said.

Officials from Russia, Turkey, Iran, the Syrian government of President Bashar al-Assad and Syrian rebels are due to converge on Astana in June for a fifth round of talks, a process considered important for working towards peace in Syria because it brings together the main parties involved in the conflict.

Political talks under the United Nations are continuing in Geneva, with the Astana process concentrating on finding practical ways to stop the fighting.

Mr Vassilenko said that Kazakhstan had been asked by Turkish President Reccep Erdogan and Russian President Vladimir Putin to host the talks, which started in January, because it had good relations with all the parties and was considered a neutral venue.

“We are not direct participants in the talks. Our role is to be as gracious a hosts as possible,” he said.

Regardless of its ambitions, though, the Syria talks have boosted Kazakhstan’s profile, a limelight that it has previously sought. Kazakhstan is currently a non-permanent member of the UN Security Council, it hosted talks centred on Iran’s nuclear programme in 2013 and in 2010 it hosted the first summit meeting of the Organisation for Security and Cooperation in Europe (OSCE), Europe’s security and democracy watchdog, for 11 years.

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Copyright ©Central Asia & South Caucasus Bulletin — all rights reserved

(News report from Issue No. 331, published on June 5 2017)

 

Georgian economy grows

MAY 30 2017 (The Bulletin) — A rise in remittances and exports has boosted Georgia’s economic growth, official data showed. It showed that Georgia’s GDP was 4.2% bigger in the first four months of this year compared to the same period in 2016. In the first four months of 2016, GDP grew by 2.8%. Remittance inflows and exports have increased.

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Copyright ©Central Asia & South Caucasus Bulletin — all rights reserved

(News report from Issue No. 331, published on June 5 2017)

 

Kazakhstan’s lending to builders falls

MAY 31 2017 (The Bulletin) — Banks in Kazakhstan are restricting lending to construction companies over concerns that they are failing to pay back loans, the website energyprom.kz reported. It said that at the end of March banks’ loan portfolio to construction projects was 3.8% lower than it had been a year earlier and nearly half the amount of 2008/9. No construction companies commented on the data. The construction sector is one of the drivers of the economy. Any slowdown in activity is a leading indicator that the economy still has some way to go before it recovers from a general malaise since 2014.

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Copyright ©Central Asia & South Caucasus Bulletin — all rights reserved

(News report from Issue No. 331, published on June 5 2017)

 

Kazakh police learn tourist way

JUNE 5 2017 (The Bulletin) — Kazakh officials were busy putting the final touches together for EXPO-2017 which Astana is hosting for three months from June 8. President Nursultan Nazarbayev opened a new Ritz-Carlton hotel in Astana, and a new airport terminal and train station were also opened. Media also reported that Kazakh police were getting lessons on how to be polite to tourists.

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Copyright ©Central Asia & South Caucasus Bulletin — all rights reserved

(News report from Issue No. 331, published on June 5 2017)

 

Comment: Georgia needs to prove it cares about human rights

JUNE 5 2017 (The Bulletin) — The Georgian authorities need to act and act fast if they are going to salvage their reputation from the mystery surrounding the kidnapping of an Azerbaijani journalist. He was kidnapped in Tbilisi on Tuesday evening, driven to the border with Azerbaijan and handed over to the authorities.

Human rights activists are, rightly, outraged at the kidnapping and have accused the Georgian government of being complicit, although it is still unclear who the kidnappers actually were.

Levan Asatiani from Amnesty International said the Georgian government allowed Azerbaijani security forces to kidnap Afgan Mukhtarli.

“Georgia must promptly and impartially investigate what happened and hold accountable all those involved in this gruesome operation,” he said.

Asatiani is not the only one to suggest that the kidnapping of an outspoken Azerbaijani journalist from Tbilisi must have had the backing of the Georgian authorities and the European Union and the United States, two key allies of Georgia, have also lodged strongly worded statements.

The timing is also important here.

A week before Mukhtarli’s disappearance, Georgia detained Emre Cabuk, a manager at a school in Tbilisi known to have links to the Gulen movement. Turkey has been trying to shut down the Gulen movement worldwide, ever since a coup attempt last summer, and this has included schools and universities its members had set up in Central Asia and the South Caucasus in the 1990s.

Azerbaijan, as expected, immediately fell into line with the demands from Turkey, its key ally but Kazakhstan and Kyrgyzstan ducked them.

Georgia had also been expected to avoid being dragged into the Gulen witch-hunt. Apparently not, though.

Azerbaijan, Georgia and Turkey from an energy pipeline axis that will be vital to European gas needs, adding to the oil pipeline the triumvirate already host. The gas will be produced in Azerbaijan and pumped through pipelines in Georgia and Turkey into Central Europe.

The dividends are likely to be high, drawing Georgia closer towards Azerbaijan and Turkey.

Both Azerbaijan and Turkey have, to put it mildly, a different perspective on human rights and media freedom to the European ideals that Georgia professes to yearn for. It wants to be part of the EU and NATO. There is no point in just paying lip service.

Georgia has to prove that it is worthy of meeting the high criteria demanded of EU and new NATO members.

 

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Copyright ©Central Asia & South Caucasus Bulletin — all rights reserved

(News report from Issue No. 331, published on June 5 2017)