Tag Archives: Turkmenistan

Turkmen President signs new military doctrine

JAN. 26 2016 (The Conway Bulletin) – Turkmen president Kurbanguly Berdymukhamedov signed a new military doctrine that confirmed Turkmenistan’s neutral status. There had been speculation that, under a potential threat from the Tablian, Mr Berdymukhamedov would reduce the importance of Turkmenistan’s neutrality in its military doctrine. He didn’t but official media reported that he did want to boost Turkmenistan’s defence measures.

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(News report from Issue No. 265, published on Jan. 29 2016)

Editorial: Iran’s return

JAN. 22 2016 (The Conway Bulletin) – There is much excitement in our region over the emergence of Iran after over a decade of US-imposed sanctions.

New flight connections, new pipelines, new transmission lines and more is what a sanctions-free Iran could bring to the South Caucasus and Central Asia.

Iran has struck a deal with Air Astana to open the Almaty-Tehran air route. It has also revived talks with Turkmenistan about gas fields and pipelines around the Caspian.

Potentially, a new network to the east of the Caspian Sea could facilitate the European Union’s plans to import gas from the region. Azerbaijan may well be interested in such deals as well. In addition, Iran could become an important supplier of gas to both Armenia and Georgia.

On the flip side, Iran’s accession to the global oil market will undoubtedly drive the price of oil further down, it has huge oil reserves and production capacity, increasing the pressure on the budgets of oil-exporting economies in the region.

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Editorial from Issue No. 264, published on Jan. 22 2016)

Lavrov to visit Turkmen capital

JAN. 21 2016 (The Conway Bulletin) – Russian foreign minister Sergei Lavrov has scheduled a visit Ashgabat to open a new embassy on Jan. 27/28, media reported, just as relations between the two countries appear to bottom out over a row about gas supplies. Earlier this year Russian gas monopoly confirmed that it would stop buying gas from Turkmenistan and instead buy from neighbouring Uzbekistan.

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(News report from Issue No. 264, published on Jan. 22 2016)

Central Asia and South Caucasus welcome Iran

JAN. 16/17 2016, ALMATY/Kazakhstan (The Conway Bulletin) – Countries in the South Caucasus and Central Asia applauded the end of western sanctions against Iran, a move they hope will turn their southern neighbour into a strong trade and diplomatic partner.

But, as well as adding a hopefully vibrant economy on their southern fringe, the reemergence of Iran also presents a major potential downside.

Low commodity and oil prices have been a major contributor to an economic downturn that has shaken the region. Adding Iran’s large oil reserve to the market will further pressure prices which are already hovering around 12-year-lows of $28/barrel, down from $115/barrel in the summer of 2014.

Most countries in the region issued a statement applauding Iran’s return to the international fold.

The Kazakh foreign ministry said: “It is a critically important step in creating a safer world.”

It also said that Iran had signed its first post-sanctions international agreement with Kazakhstan’s Air Astana to open an Almaty-Tehran flight in 2016.

In the South Caucasus, Armenia and Georgia are trying to negotiate gas supply deals with Iran, and Azerbaijan may be able to persuade Tehran to fill part of its TANAP gas pipeline running via Turkey to Europe.

Elham Hassanzadeh, Research Fellow at the Oxford Institute for Energy Studies, said Iran could become an important trade and diplomatic partner for Central Asia and the South Caucasus.

“It will certainly be an easier partner to trade with [than previously],” she told The Conway Bulletin in an interview.

“The cost of doing business with Iran will be significantly lower than that of during the sanctions era while less economic and political restrictions on a given country in the region could be translated into less antagonism and conflict and more collaboration and constructive dialogue.”

She said, though, that energy would be at the forefront of relations. “A good number of Azeri and Turkmen companies are planning to invest in Iran’s oil and gas sector,” Ms Hassanzadeh said.

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(News report from Issue No. 264, published on Jan. 22 2016)

Turkmen officials burn cigarettes

JAN. 15 2016 (The Conway Bulletin) – Turkmen officials burnt piles of cigarettes in another indication that the reclusive state is on the brink of an outright ban on smoking, the AP news agency reported. Earlier this month, AFP reported that officials had told storekeepers to remove cigarettes from their shelves. President Kurbanguly Berdymukhamedov is known to hate smoking.

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(News report from Issue No. 264, published on Jan. 22 2016)

Turkmenistan retrieves another oilman body

JAN. 11 2016 (The Conway Bulletin) – The Turkmen authorities retrieved the body of another missing Azerbaijani oil worker in the Caspian Sea. A storm hit an oil field in the Azerbaijani sector of the Caspian Sea shortly before Christmas, triggering a fire that killed 33 people. It was the worst offshore oil rig accident since Piper Alpha, in the North Sea, in 1988. Some of the bodies have been found in the Turkmen sector of the Caspian Sea.

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(News report from Issue No. 263, published on Jan. 15 2016)

Currencies: Azerbaijan’s manat, Kazakhstan’s tenge

JAN. 15 2016 (The Conway Bulletin) — In Azerbaijan, people took to the streets to protest against inflation and unemployment. The manat grew slightly to 1.58/$1, but what angers people most is the increase in prices, especially for imported goods.

In Kazakhstan, the tenge depreciated further to 366/$1, a 6% drop on the previous week. Many worry now that there could be no end to the downward spiral.

In Tajikistan, the somoni lost an additional 2% this week, trading at 7.38/$1. The currency slide in the country doesn’t seem to slow.

In Kyrgyzstan the Central Bank has kept the som stable at 75.9/$1 by intervening several times in the currency market. The Georgian Central Bank also protected the lari with a few interventions. In Azerbaijan and Turkmenistan, the governments imposed further restrictions on the trade of foreign currencies, by limiting licenses to banks, airports and, in Azerbaijan’s case, hotels.

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(News report from Issue No. 263, published on Jan. 15 2016)

ICG warns Tajikistan, Uzbekistan, Turkmenistan on Taliban threat

JAN. 11 2016, DUSHANBE (The Conway Bulletin) — Anti-terrorist operations by Pakistan’s military along its border with Afghanistan have pushed Islamist fighters north, increasing the threat posed by the Taliban to Tajikistan, Uzbekistan and Turkmenistan, the Brussels-based International Crisis Group (ICG) said.

The ICG said these battle-hardened radicals had played a key role in briefly capturing Kunduz, on the border with Tajikistan, last year.

“Insecurity in Afghanistan’s northern provinces, including Taliban control of districts across from Tajikistan, has increased pressure, with risk that battle-experienced Islamic militants could link up with even small numbers of potential allies inside the country,” ICG wrote.

The ICG is an influential voice. Its report sides with Russia’s analysis that stability along Central Asia’s southern border has worsened.

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(News report from Issue No. 263, published on Jan. 15 2016)

Turkmenistan acknowledges economic slowdown

JAN. 9 2016 (The Conway Bulletin) -Turkmen president Kurbanguly Berdymukhamedov officially recognised the economic slowdown hitting the region when he said that Turkmenistan’s GDP growth in 2015 had been 6.7% compared to 10.4% in 2014. Turkmenistan’s economy has been booming thanks mainly to gas sales to China.

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(News report from Issue No. 263, published on Jan. 15 2016)

Turkmenistan starts to ban cigarettes

JAN. 14 2016 (The Conway Bulletin) – Turkmen officials have started pulling cigarettes off shops’ shelves in what appears to be a draconian attempt to effectively ban smoking altogether.

In Ashgabat, an AFP correspondent interviewed a shopkeeper who said that officials had recently ordered him to stop selling cigarette or face a heavy fine.

“(They) came to our shop recently and forced us to remove cigarettes from the shelves, threatening us with huge fines,” 34-year-old Bairam Saryev said.

Turkmenistan’s President Kurbanguly Berdymukhamedov is known for his eccentricity. He is a former dentist and hates smoking. The World Health Organisation (WHO) has praised his efforts to discourage smokers by banning smoking in all public buildings, parks and offices as well as cigarette advertising.

Last year WHO said only 8% of Turkmenistan’s population smoked, the lowest of any country.

The Turkmen government has not published any official announcement on whether it will ban smoking altogether.

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(News report from Issue No. 263, published on Jan. 15 2016)