JULY 22 2016 (The Conway Bulletin) — The brief closure of the Bosphorus Strait to oil tankers for a few hours on July 15/16 during a failed coup attempt was a reminder of just how critical a stable, reliable and open Turkey is for trade flows into and out of Central Asia and the South Caucasus.
The Bosphorus Strait connects the Black Sea with the Aegean Sea and the Mediterranean Sea. If it is closed, Georgia’s Black Sea ports of Poti and Batumi are cut off – key gateways for the region for a variety of goods.
It’s an essential corridor too for oil shipments from the Chevron-lead Tengizchevroil project in western Kazakhstan which sends oil via a pipeline around the Caspian Sea to the Russian Black Sea port of Novorossiysk where it is loaded onto tankers and sent out to the rest of the world via the Bosphorus Strait.
But it’s not just the Bosphorus Strait which makes Turkey a vital transit route for Central Asia and the South Caucasus. Turkey also hosts a series of oil and gas pipelines which will link the Caspian Sea to Europe, set to become an increasingly important market.
Samuel Lussac, Caspian research manager at Wood Mackenzie, said international conventions should prevent Turkey from closing the straits but, if it did, it would have major repercussions.
“This would have a massive impact, as you have more than 1 million barrels per day of Kazakh and Russian crude shipped from Novorossiysk,” he said.
He also said the BTC oil pipeline that runs from Baku to Ceyhan on Turkey’s Mediterranean coast was an important route.
“From a transit perspective, Turkey is critical for Azerbaijan. Most of Azerbaijan’s crude is transported via BTC which goes via Turkey,” he said.
And the region’s reliance on Turkey as a transit partner is growing. New gas pipelines connecting the Caspian Sea to Europe are currently being built, underscoring the importance of Turkish stability.
ENDS
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(News report from Issue No. 290, published on July 22 2016)