OCT. 6 2014 (The Conway Bulletin) – Uzbek president Islam Karimov will visit Prague next year, the head of the Czech presidential administration told media. Mr Karimov had cancelled a trip to Prague earlier this year after Czech ministers, worried about Uzbekistan’s human rights record, refused to meet him.
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(News report from Issue No. 203, published on Oct. 8 2014)
OCT. 2 2014 (The Conway Bulletin) – Turkmenistan’s president Kurgbanguly Berdymukhamedov ended a meeting of the leaders of the countries that border the Caspian Sea by saying that it was their right to build a pipeline across the inland water, media reported.
The meeting — which included the leaders of Russia, Turkmenistan, Kazakhstan, Iran and Azerbaijan — broke up without any major deals although they did agree not to allow NATO forces into the region.
Perhaps the most important single element of the meeting, though, were reports from Astrakhan, the venue in Russia for the meeting, that appeared to push the possibility of a sub-Caspian Sea gas pipeline nearer.
This has been touted before but has never been put into action. The cost has previously been considered too great but now, with demand for energy increasing from Europe, it may make business sense to build the pipeline.
There is also the extra added consideration that most of the infrastructure needed to pump the gas on from Azerbaijan to Europe has already been built or is scheduled to be built soon.
This week Azerbaijan’s president welcomed the deputy PM of Turkmenistan to Baku. Last week the head of Azerbaijan’s energy company SOCAR was in Ashgabat. There may be some reason behind all this activity. One to watch.
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(News report from Issue No. 203, published on Oct. 8 2014)
OCT. 6 2014 (The Conway Bulletin) – Accusations that Azerbaijan is helping Israel spy on Iran are nonsense, Rafael Harpaz, the Israeli ambassador in Baku, was quoted as saying. Israel and Azerbaijan have grown increasingly close over the last few years. Iran has also accused Azerbaijan of acting as a launch site for Israeli drones.
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(News report from Issue No. 203, published on Oct. 8 2014)
OCT. 29 2014 (The Conway Bulletin) – Turkmenistan appointed its first ambassador to Poland. Toyly Atayev, already the Turkmen ambassador in Berlin, will cover both Germany and Poland. The decision to appoint an official ambassador to Poland, even if he is based in Berlin, perhaps shows that Turkmenistan is eager to boost its diplomatic reach.
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(News report from Issue No. 207, published on Nov. 5 2014)
SEPT. 30 2014 (The Conway Bulletin) – In a show of mutual support, Russian president Vladimir Putin travelled to Atyrau in west Kazakhstan after a meeting of Caspian Sea littoral states in Russia to meet with Kazakh president Nursultan Nazarbayev. Russia is looking for allies over its stand-off with the West over intervention in Ukraine.
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(News report from Issue No. 202, published on Oct. 1 2014)
SEPT. 29 2014 (The Conway Bulletin) – Japan has signed a deal to help build local infrastructure projects in Azerbaijan such as improving basic drinking water access in villages, media reported. This may show that Japan is trying to increase its participation in the South Caucasus.
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(News report from Issue No. 202, published on Oct. 1 2014)
SEPT. 30 2014 (The Conway Bulletin) – On a trip to Yerevan, Greece’s president Karolos Papoulias and Armenia’s president Serzh Sargsyan agreed to expand economic relations.
The statement was short on detail and mainly forgettable, if it wasn’t for the timing. The visit by President Papoulias to Armenia comes less than a month after Greece’s parliament agreed to make denial of the alleged genocide by Ottoman Turks against the Armenians a crime.
For Armenia, persuading Greece to take this line was a major success. Some countries, such as France, do formally recognise the Armenian genocide but Greece is only the third country to make it illegal to deny that the genocide took place.
Switzerland and Slovakia have also made it illegal to deny the Armenian genocide. France is considering a similar law.
Turkey denies genocide and says instead that Armenians died in fighting between the two sides towards the end of the First World War.
Relations between Armenia and Turkey and are still strained and the border between the two neighbours is closed.
Of course, relations between Turkey and Greece are also strained making a deal between Armenia and Greece natural.
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(News report from Issue No. 202, published on Oct. 1 2014)
SEPT. 24 2014 (The Conway Bulletin) – On a trip to Ashgabat, the head of the Azerbaijani state energy company SOCAR Rovnag Abdullayev met with Turkmen president Kurbanguly Berdymukhamedov, media reported. The visit was rare for a senior Azerbaijani official and, perhaps, indicates the improved relations between the two Caspian Sea states.
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(News report from Issue No. 202, published on Oct. 1 2014)
SEPT. 29 2014 (The Conway Bulletin) – Despite a World Bank report tentatively giving backing to Tajikistan’s Rogun Dam, Uzbekistan foreign minister Abdulaziz Kamilov used a speech at the UN to underline his country’s continued opposition to the project. Increased tension between Uzbekistan and Tajikistan over the dam is an important issue to monitor.
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(News report from Issue No. 202, published on Oct. 1 2014)
SEPT. 30 2014 (The Conway Bulletin) – Kazakh president Nursultan Nazarbayev hinted at a meeting with Russian President Vladimir Putin that he may not be as enamoured with green energy as he has suggested.
This is important because Kazakhstan’s government has spent time and money promoting itself as a standard bearer for Green Energy, including devoting much of the sales pitch of its centrepiece event EXPO-2017 in Astana to it.
“I personally do not believe in alternative energy, such as wind, and solar,” media quoted Mr Nazarbayev as saying after meeting Mr Putin in Atyrau on the Caspian Sea coast.
“I think the shale euphoria also does not make much sense. Oil and gas are our main horses and we do not need to be afraid that they are fossil fuels.”
This view may not be that surprising, afterall the economies of both Kazakhstan and Russia are based on oil and gas exports.
Even so, Kazakhstan has given the impression it wants to move on from its reliance on oil and gas for its wealth.
Throughout Kazakhstan’s cities advertise EXPO-2017 with posters carrying the slogan ‘The Energy of the Future’ against a background of a green valley filled with wind turbines and solar panels.
Kazakhstan’s future energy policy is further complicated because it has agreed a deal with Russia to build a new nuclear power station.
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(News report from Issue No. 202, published on Oct. 1 2014)