Tag Archives: hydrocarbons

Business comment: BTC fails to live up to hype

APRIL 29 2016 (The Conway Bulletin) – In the early 2000s, the Baku-Tbilisi- Ceyhan (BTC) oil pipeline was hailed as a key component of the New Silk Road, designed by the West for the West. The dream might now be over.

Western oil producers wanted a pipeline that would pump Caspian oil to world markets without having to pass through Russia.

Everyone in Washington DC was excited. “Happiness is multiple pipelines” was the slogan that could be heard espoused by US diplomats and oil companies. It was even seen on bumper stickers around the US capital.

The 1b barrels/day dream pipeline was inaugurated in 2005 and relied on Azerbaijan’s largest oil fields as well as on Kazakh and Turkmen trans-Caspian shipments.

The decade-long excitement, however, seems to have hit a wall as Kazakh oil shipments have now faded away.

Experts don’t believe shipments will resume anytime soon. Tengizchevroil appears to have let its contract with BTC lapse. Kazakhstan’s Aktau port management has said it doesn’t foresee oil shipments from Tengiz resuming.

At a time of low oil prices and rising extraction prices, cutting expenditure on shipments of oil across the Caspian Sea was the obvious move for Kazakh producers.

Tengiz, and Kashagan whenever it comes online, will use the expanded Caspian Pipeline Consortium for future exports.

This choice will isolate Azerbaijan at a time when it is under the spotlight to become Europe’s new gas provider. The take-home from this story is that corporate interest, in the long run, overrides diplomatic objectives.

ENDS

(News report from Issue No. 278, published on April 29 2016)

Kashagan to resume production, says Kazakh energy minister

APRIL 22 2016 (The Conway Bulletin) – Kazakhstan’s energy minister Kanat Bozumbayev said he expects production at the Kashagan offshore field to resume by the end of 2016. Mr Buzumbayev’s statement sounded like a rebuttal to an earlier comment by CNPC, which said it saw Kashagan production resuming in mid-2017.

ENDS

(News report from Issue No. 278, published on April 29 2016)

Kazakhstan’s Kazmunaigas denies KMG EP’s buyout

APRIL 21 2016 (The Conway Bulletin) – Kazakhstan’s state-owned oil and gas company Kazmunaigas denied it had plans to issue new debt to raise cash to finance the buyout of minority shareholders in KMG EP, its subsidiary whose GDRs are listed in London. Ardak Kassymbek, one of Kazmunaigas’ managing directors, had earlier told Reuters that the company could borrow about $1b for the buyout.

ENDS

(News report from Issue No. 278, published on April 29 2016)

Kazakh oil producers ditch BTC pipeline export route

ALMATY, APRIL 26 2016, (The Conway Bulletin) — Kazakh oil producers have stopped exporting via the Baku- Tbilisi-Ceyhan (BTC) pipeline as they become increasingly cost-conscious during this period of low global oil prices, a shift that will damage Azerbaijan’s reputation as an energy transit route from Asia to Europe

Data from BTC showed that Kazakhstan’s latest contribution to the pipeline was in January. This is the first time in years that Kazakh producers have suspended shipments for more than a month.

This confirms the marginalisation of BTC as an export route for Kazakh producers, most predominantly Chevron-led Tengizchevroil (TCO).

Analysts said the ditching of BTC as an export route for Kazakh oil, a route once heralded as the region’s saviour, was linked to both contractual and market constraints.

“The contract between TCO and BTC for shipments recently ended, and with the CPC pipeline expansion adding new export capacity, there is capacity to export more TCO oil via CPC, which is a more economical option for TCO at low oil prices,” said Andrew Neff, senior petroleum analyst at IHS.

The CPC, Caspian Pipeline Consortium, is an oil pipeline that sweeps around the northern Kazakh shore of the Caspian Sea and ends at the Russian Black Sea port of Novorossiysk. It was designed in the 1990s to ship oil from TCO, Kazakhstan’s largest producer. It’s been gradually expanded and shipped 1.1m barrels/day in March, nearly double its rate of 10 years ago. BTC’s capacity is 1m barrels/day but in March 2016, it transported 721,500 barrels/day.

CPC is a cheaper export route because, to ship oil to the start of BTC, Kazakh producers needs to transport oil across the Caspian Sea.

Mr Neff, the IHS oil analyst, said that as well as hitting BTC’s earnings, dropping Kazakh oil from its mix will also reduce the quality of BTC exports.

“It will change BTC’s overall blend and lower its quality, as Turkmen crude is heavier, plus it will reduce oil transit revenues for Azerbaijan,” he said.

BTC’s main shareholders are BP with a 30% stake and Azerbaijan’s state-owned SOCAR with a 25% stake.

ENDS

(News report from Issue No. 278, published on April 29 2016)

Amec wins Azerbaijani deal

APRIL 26 2016 (The Conway Bulletin) – London-based energy service company Amec Foster Wheeler signed a contract for so-called frontend engineering design at Azerbaijan’s Heydar Aliyev Oil Refinery in Bak. SOCAR, Azerbaijan’s state-owned energy company, awarded the contract. Amec will complete the work by in Q1 2017.

ENDS

(News report from Issue No. 278, published on April 29 2016)

Lukoil starts Kandym work in Uzbekistan

APRIL 19 2016 (The Conway Bulletin) – Russian oil and gas company Lukoil said it had started construction work at the $3.3b Kandym Gas Processing Complex in south-west Uzbekistan, which will include gas wells, pipelines, compressor stations, storage facilities and a 80MW gas fired power plant. Lukoil will use gas from six fields it is developing with state-owned Uzbekneftegaz to fuel the new plant. Hyundai Engineering will supply the equipment for the plant

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