JULY 16 2015 (The Conway Bulletin) – Azerbaijan’s Central Bank chief Elman Rustamov told local media that he expected the manat currency to remain stable if oil prices steadied at around $50/barrel. The Central Bank devalued the manat by a third in February.
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(News report from Issue No. 240, published on July 16 2015)
JULY 15 2015 (The Conway Bulletin) – Elman Rustamov, the Azerbaijani Central Bank chief, said that at current oil prices, Azerbaijan’s economy will continue to grow. Mr Rustamov may have been trying to reassure a jittery public. Azerbaijan’s economy has been coping with the fallout of a drop in oil prices and a downturn in Russian economic prospects.
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(News report from Issue No. 240, published on July 16 2015)
JULY 8 2015 (The Conway Bulletin) – Kazakhstan’s foreign currency reserves declined by 4.4% in the first half of 2015, data from the Central Bank showed. Kazakhstan, like other countries across the region, has been defending the value of its currency by spending its reserves.
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(News report from Issue No. 239, published on July 9 2015)
TBILISI, JULY 7 2015 (The Conway Bulletin) — Georgia’s Central Bank scorned as inadequate the government’s plan to cut spending in the face of a region-wide economic downturn.
The statement will increase tension between the Central Bank and the Georgian Dream Coalition government which have become embroiled in a row about oversight of commercial banks.
Central Bank chief Giorgi Kadagidze, who was appointed by the former government of President Mikheil Saakaashvili, and his allies have said the government’s criticism of him is politically motivated.
“Expenditures should be cut mostly at the expense of current spending,” the Central Bank said in a statement. “If the goal of the Parliament is to ease the loan burden caused by lari depreciation or to offset further downward pressure on lari, appropriate changes should be made in the [budget], which are not envisaged by the proposed draft of the budgetary amendments.” This is rare criticism.
Last month MPs voted to cut spending across different ministries. The lari has lost just over a quarter of its value since November 2014.
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(News report from Issue No. 239, published on July 9 2015)
JULY 1 2015 (The Conway Bulletin) – Georgia’s Central Bank raised its interest rate to 5.5%, its highest since Nov. 2012, to combat accelerating inflation. Georgia’s Lari currency has fallen sharply in value over the past few months, mainly because of the downturn in Russia’s economy.
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(News report from Issue No. 238, published on July 2 2015)
JULY 1 2015 (The Conway Bulletin) – Tajikistan’s Central Bank is cutting nearly 200 jobs as it restructures and streamlines its operations, media reported. It’s unclear exactly what the restructuring entails but media said that most jobs would be lost at the Central Bank’s offices in Dushanbe.
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(News report from Issue No. 238, published on July 2 2015)
JULY 1 2015 (The Conway Bulletin) – Commercial banks in Kyrgyzstan’s need to meet a minimum capitalisation level, the Central Bank said, part of an ongoing process to professionalise the banking sector and protect it against another Global Financial Crisis. By 2017, commercial banks in Kyrgyzstan will need a working capital of nearly $10m.
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(News report from Issue No. 238, published on July 2 2015)
JUNE 30 2015 (The Conway Bulletin) – Kyrgyzstan’s Central Bank kept its interest rates steady at 9.5%, despite inflation falling. The Central Bank is trying to weigh up protecting its som currency from devaluing and also stopping inflation dropping too low. Inflation dropped to 4.8%, down by half since the beginning of the year.
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(News report from Issue No. 238, published on July 2 2015)
JUNE 23 2015 (The Conway Bulletin) – Armenia’s Central Bank kept its key interest rate unchanged at 10.5% as inflation steadied. The Central Bank increased its interest rate to 10.5% in February as it tried to defend the value of its currency.
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(News report from Issue No. 237, published on June 25 2015)
JUNE 15 2015 (The Conway Bulletin) – Prices manufacturers in Georgia are paying to produce their goods are rising at the fastest rate since 2011, the national statistics agency said, sparking concern that underlying inflation may also be accelerating.
Georgia’s Central Bank has said it wants to fight off the effects of regional economic turmoil and the falling value of its lari currency and keep inflation under control.
But Geostat, the Georgian statistics agency, said its Producer Price Index (PPI) rose by 0.8% in May from April, registering an increase of 9% from May 2014.
“Manufacturing prices increased 11.1% contributing 9.05 percentage points to the overall index growth,” Geostat said of the PPI growth rate figures.
“The prices mainly increased for manufacture of food products, beverages and tobacco products (16.9%), manufacture of paper and publishing (30.4%) and manufacture of basic metals and fabricated metal products (4.0%).”
The 9% year-on-year increase in May was the highest inflation in prices paid by producers since 2011 when the economies were recovering from the 2008/9 global financial crisis and price inflation was a major concern. Now inflation, triggered by a falling lari, is once again a headache that the Central Bank has to confront.
The lari has lost around 20% of its value this year. The Georgian Central Bank has been putting up interest rates to try to strengthen its currency and dampen inflationary pressures.
Geostat’s Consumer Price Index measured a jump in inflation of 0.6% in May, measuring a rise to 3.5% of year-on-year inflation, its highest since September 2014.
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(News report from Issue No. 236, published on June 18 2015)