JULY 1 2016 (The Conway Bulletin) – Since mid-2014, a strong US dollar and downward pressures on oil prices have hit economies across Central Asia and the South Caucasus.
Currencies in the region suffered and, despite all the efforts from Central Banks to keep the exchange rate steady by intervening in the market, the fall was inevitable.
Compared to two years ago, all currencies have lost between 15% to 50% of their value. Oil exporting countries (in green in the graph) have fared worse than oil importing countries (pictured in red).
The Kazakh and Azerbaijani Central Banks decided to abandon the currency peg to the US dollar in 2015, causing a plunge in the value of the tenge and the manat. In 2015, these two were among the worst-performing cur- rencies in the world, not just the region.
Oil importers have acted in the opposite direction. In Georgia and Kyrgyzstan, currencies stabilised in the second half of 2015 and Central Banks have tightly controlled exchange rates since.
ENDS
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(News report from Issue No. 287, published on July 1 2016)