Category Archives: Uncategorised

Uzbek President’s daughter loses $300m

JULY 6 2016 (The Conway Bulletin) — Dutch prosecutors asked a court in Amsterdam to confiscate €300m ($333m) from Gibraltar-registered Takilant, a company linked to Gulnara Karimova, the eldest daughter of Uzbekistan’s president. Takilant allegedly received bribes in 2007/8 from Sweden’s Telia Company (then called TeliaSonera) and Russia’s VimpelCom to award mobile licenses in Uzbekistan. Dutch prosecutors asked the court to impose a €5m ($5.5) fine on Takilant and seize its 6% stake in Ucell, an Uzbek subsidiary of Telia Company. VimpelCom is registered in the Netherlands.

ENDS

(News report from Issue No. 288, published on July 8 2016)

Tajikistan hands out $3.9b contract to build Rogun dam

DUSHANBE, JULY 1 2016 (The Conway Bulletin) — Tajikistan handed a $3.9bn contract to Italy’s Salini Impregilo to build the Rogun dam and hydroelectric power plant, a controversial project that sits at the heart of the country’s future energy production.

Salini Impregilo, Italy’s biggest construction company, said it had already received funding of $1.95b for the construction of a dam on the Vakhsh river, which will become the tallest in the world at 355m. A company spokesman said that work would start soon.

“The idea is to have two of the six turbines start producing energy for sale by 2018 in order to raise funding to complete the project,” the company said in a press release.

The Rogun dam project is controversial because it is opposed by down- stream Uzbekistan which worries that the complex will divert water away from its cotton fields. Environmentalists have also complained about the damage the dam will cause to the region’s lush valleys and human rights activists have exposed the forced eviction of thousands of people from the area.

Still, for Tajik President Emomali Rakhmon, the Rogun dam has become one of his pet projects. In 2011, he received a major boost when the World Bank endorsed it in two feasibility projects.

Around 70% of Tajikistan’s energy production comes from hydroelectric power stations. Once Rogun comes online, Tajikistan could become a hub for the region. It already plans to export electricity to Pakistan and Afghanistan.

Salini Impregilo has built 250 dams worldwide and in August 2015 it won a $575m contract to build the Nenskra hydropower plant in Georgia.

The company said it will build six power stations atRogun, with a total capacity of 3,600MW, roughly equivalent to Tajikistan’s current capacity.

ENDS

(News report from Issue No. 288, published on July 8 2016)

Kyrgyzstan focused aims to diverse assets

JULY 6 2016 (The Conway Bulletin) — Canadian miner Centerra Gold has struck a $1.1b deal with US-based Thompson Creek to buy a majority stake in the company. Centerra’s core asset is the Kumtor gold mine in eastern Kyrgyzstan. The move could be seen as an effort towards diversification as Thompson Creek owns mines in North America. The Kyrgyz government’s representatives on the Centerra board voted against the deal with Thompson Creek.

ENDS

(News report from Issue No. 288, published on July 8 2016)

Gazprom seeks compensation from Turkmenistan

JULY 6 2016 (The Conway Bulletin) — Russia’s state-owned gas company Gazprom will seek $5b in compensation at the international arbitration court in Stockholm from Turkmenistan for what it has said was the illegal and unilateral termination of a gas supply contract, sources told the Kommersant newspaper. Turkmenistan and Gazprom rowed in 2014 and 2015 over prices for Turkmen gas imports to Russia.

ENDS

(News report from Issue No. 288, published on July 8 2016)

Kazakh CB approves RBS sale

JULY 4 2016 (The Conway Bulletin) — Kazakhstan’s Central Bank approved the sale of the local subsidiary of Britain’s Royal Bank of Scotland to Russian lender Expobank, owned by Igor Kim. The deal had been announced in June. Earlier this year, Mr Kim bought RBS’s Russian subsidiary. The sale of RBS is considered important for Kazakhstan’s ailing banking sector.

ENDS

(News report from Issue No. 288, published on July 8 2016)

Kazakh police reports suicide case

JULY 5 2016 (The Conway Bulletin) — Kazakh police reported thatTair Kaldybayev, found guilty of defamation by a court in Almaty in May, committed suicide in his prison cell. Kaldybayev, a businessman, was accused of having funded a smear campaign against Kazkommertsbank in 2014, which appeared on the Nakanune.kz website. The website director, journalist Guzyal Baidalinova was sentenced for libel.

ENDS

(News report from Issue No. 288, published on July 8 2016)

Exports drop at Azerbaijan’s SOCAR

JULY 1 2016 (The Conway Bulletin) — In its monthly report, SOCAR said it cut its oil export by 10% in the first half of 2016, compared to last year. The company did not give a reason for the drop. Shipments via Turkey’s Ceyhan port, the terminal of the Baku-Tbilisi-Ceyhan pipeline, were 30% lower in June 2016 compared to last year. Shipments via the Supsa terminal in Georgia fell by 48% in the same month.

ENDS

(News report from Issue No. 288, published on July 8 2016)

Georgia enters Association Agreement with the EU

TBILISI, JULY 1 2016 (The Conway Bulletin) — After two years of preparations, Georgia formally entered into an Association Agreement with the EU, a deal touted by its political leaders as another step towards EU membership and one which should also make it easier for Georgian companies to sell products to Europe.

Georgian PM Giorgi Kvirikashvili hailed the adoption of the Association Agreement as one of the most important days in the government’s stated mission of easing Georgia’s visa arrangements with the EU and even becoming an EU member state.

“It cements Georgia’s relations with a partner which, for years, has been our model and end destination”, he said in a press conference.

In a statement, the European Commission’s foreign affairs representative, Federica Mogherini, said the agreement will bring Georgia benefits but reforms were needed before more EU integration was possible.

“The EU is looking forward to further strengthening its cooperation with a country that is still working on crucial reforms in areas such as the rule of law, the accountability rules for public decision-makers and transparency,” she said.

At its core, the EU Association Agreement improves Georgian companies’ access to European markets in exchange for a commitment to improve the rule of law, health and safety standards and democracy.

The EU said that the benefits to Georgia are already being felt. It said that Georgian kiwis, blueberries, nuts, garlic and wine are more readily available in Europe.

On the streets of Tbilisi, most people welcomed further integration with the EU but were unaware of the details of the deal. Even those who had studied it said that it would take time for Georgian companies to get the most out of the agreement.

“The majority of Georgian companies are not ready to start exporting to the EU countries in terms of qualities and certificates,” said Ioseb Kobakhidze, managing director of Georgian Herbs, a dried fruit producer.

ENDS

(News report from Issue No. 288, published on July 8 2016)

Landslide blocks vital Armenia-Georgia-Russia road

TBILISI, JULY 7 2016 (The Conway Bulletin) — Emergency workers will, over the next few days, finish clearing a landslide that has blocked for a fortnight the only road linking Armenia and Georgia to Russia.

The landslide has exposed just how reliant Armenia, and to a lesser extent Georgia, is on the Upper Lars highway as a link to Russia. The only other direct land routes across the Caucasus mountains to Russia thread through the breakaway Georgian regions of South Ossetia and Abkhazia and are currently closed.

Georgian and Armenian officials said that the stretch of road near the border with Russia and Georgia should reopen on July 12. It has been blocked since the landslide hit on June 23.

And the blockage has forced politicians to look at how reliant they are on this single route into and out of Russia. At a cabinet meeting, Armenian PM Hovik Abrahamyan said that relying on the Upper Lars route was dangerous.

“It is time to explore alternative routes,” media quoted him as saying. Armenia is largely isolated in the South Caucasus. It borders two sworn enemies, Turkey and Azerbaijan, and sees Russia, through Georgia, and Iran, to its south, as its only possible partners.

While trade with Iran has improved and could grow further with the easing of Western sanctions on Iran, Armenia’s reliance on Russia has grown markedly.

Armenia turned down an Association Agreement with the EU in favour of joining the Kremlin-led Eurasian Economic Union. This also includes Belarus, Kazakhstan and Kyrgyzstan. Armenia is the only country that doesn’t share a border with other members.

In need of alternatives to the Upper Lars route, Armenia asked Georgia to consider opening routes through South Ossetia and Abkhazia, regions Georgian forces fought Russia for control over in a 2008 war.

Apparently appreciating the seriousness of the scenario, Georgia’s PM Giorgi Kvirikashvili agreed to start talks, marking a potential important shift in relations between Georgia and its rebel regions.

ENDS

(News report from Issue No. 288, published on July 8 2016)

Business comment: Contracts of the century

JULY 8 2016 (The Conway Bulletin) — After the fall of the Soviet Union, multinational oil companies flocked into Central Asia and the South Caucasus to strike new deals around the Caspian Sea.

Kazakhstan in 1993 and Azerbaijan in 1994 awarded two massive licenses to Chevron and BP respectively. Both contracts became known as “the contract of the century”.

They became the largest oil projects in Azerbaijan and Kazakhstan, both operated under Production Sharing Agreement schemes, which gave significant advantages to the multinational companies in recovering their initial capital expenditures.

In the new era of sustained low oil prices, however, the Azeri-Chirag-Guneshli (ACG) group of offshore oil fields in Azerbaijan has had a different fate from Tengizchevroil in west Kazakhstan.

Azerbaijan’s President Ilham Aliyev has repeatedly pushed BP and its partners to increase production and continue to invest in spite of lower returns. Since mid-2014, when oil prices started plunging, ACG’s output growth has been sluggish at best. Now a potential corporate war over ACG between BP and Exxon contrasts strikingly to the success story of Tengizchevroil.

After years of mulling over an expansion and balancing costs, the consortium decided to launch a $36.8b investment that will boost production by 2022. This is a relief for Kazakhstan.

Tengiz has one of the lowest production costs in the region, at around $5.3/barrel, which makes it an easy bet even when oil prices are so low.

After the hype of the 1990s, now it seems clearer which of the two really deserved to be called the “contract of the century”.

ENDS

(News report from Issue No. 288, published on July 8 2016)