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Protesters and police clash again in regional Azerbaijanji town

JAN. 18 2016 (The Conway Bulletin) – Police and protesters angry about worsening economic conditions in Azerbaijan clashed briefly in the town of Quba, north of Baku, three days after demonstrations sprung up in several regional towns.

Media reports from Quba said that police fired tear gas and rubber bullets to control the demonstration. Protesters are angry at a sharp rise in prices after a devaluation of the manat at the end of last month.

Similarly to the earlier protests, police moved in after the end of the stand-off and detained dozens of demonstrators.

There have been no other demonstrations since.

These were the most serious civil disturbances this year in Central Asia and the South Caucasus linked to the economic slowdown and have worried the Azerbaijani government.

ENDS

Copyright ©The Conway Bulletin — all rights reserved

(News report from Issue No. 264, published on Jan. 22 2016)

Russia quits Kyrgyz hydropower project

JAN. 20 2016, BISHKEK (The Conway Bulletin) — Kyrgyzstan started the hunt for a new investor for its $2b Kambar-Ata-1 hydropower project, which was supposed to transform the country into a major electricity exporter, after MPs officially voted to cancel a deal with Russia.

At the end of last month, Kyrgyz President Almazbek Atambayev said that Russia simply didn’t have enough money to finance the project any more. MPs said that they had little choice but to cancel the deal with Russia so that a search for a new investor could begin in earnest.

Dastan Bekeshev, considered a liberal progressive MP, told a Conway Bulletin correspondent that it would be hard to find a new investor at the moment.

“Kyrgyzstan will seek investors, but I am sceptical to this idea because this is an issue of geopolitics and not simply investment from foreign countries,” he said.

The cancellation of the Kambar- Ata-1 project, signed between Kyrgyzstan and Russia in 2008, is a major blow to Kyrgyzstan and one of the biggest casualties of the deepening economic malaise. And, as Mr Bekeshev said, in the current economic climate, it may be difficult for Kyrgyzstan to attract another investor.

China, the most obvious substi- tute, is trying to deal with its own economic slowdown.

Russia’s withdrawal from the Kambar-Ata-1 hydropower project also shows that Russian influence in Central Asia is waning as its economic power dips.

On the streets of Bishkek, opinion was divided on the impact of Russia’s withdrawal from the project.

Aliaskar, 23, said that Russia had promised and failed to build many infrastructure projects in Kyrgyzstan.

“They said they would build gas pipelines and improve infrastructure under the Eurasian economic union, but all these things would be implemented in 50 years from now,” he said.

But Alisher, 24, said the scuppered hydropower project deal wouldn’t damage relations between Kyrgyzstan and Russia. “There are other spheres in the Kyrgyz economy where Russia has positively contributed like importing Russian gas, forgiving debt, providing security in the region and other pillars,” he said.

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Copyright ©The Conway Bulletin — all rights reserved

(News report from Issue No. 264, published on Jan. 22 2016)

Ketchum enters Azerbaijan

JAN. 21 2016 (The Conway Bulletin) — US PR firm Ketchum signed a so- called exclusive affiliation deal with Azerbaijan-based Red Communications, which will expand the company’s operations into its 17th country. Red Communications was previously affiliated with Ketchum’s Moscow office. Ketchum said it will work with Red Communications on international PR campaigns.

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(News report from Issue No. 264, published on Jan. 22 2016)

 

Kazakh leader’s nephew gets KNB post

JAN. 20 2016 (The Conway Bulletin) – Samat Abish Nazarbayev, the 37- year-old nephew of president Nursultan Nazarbayev, was appointed deputy head of the KNB, Kazakhstan’s intelligence service, the eurasinet.org website reported. Samat Abish Nazarbayev is the son of Bolat Nazarbayev, President Nazarbayev’s brother. By appointing him to a senior position in the KNB, Pres. Nazarbayev is strengthens his control over it.

ENDS

Copyright ©The Conway Bulletin — all rights reserved

(News report from Issue No. 264, published on Jan. 22 2016)

Azerbaijan imposes capital barriers

JAN. 19 2016 (The Conway Bulletin) – Azerbaijan imposed some of the most stringent currency controls in the region to try and halt the slide in its manat currency and to stop a feared wave of capital outflows as the economic storm that has hit the region strengthens.

The most draconian measure was an immediate 20% tax on purchases of property, securities and other investments in foreign currencies.

“People should know that the central bank, other government agencies are in a position to prevent the manat from falling sharply,” Azerbaijan’s Central Bank chief, Elman Rustamov, said in televised comments clearly aimed at shoring up public support. Last week sporadic clashes broke out in regional towns between angry protesters and police.

The Azerbaijani manat has lost 50% of its value in six months and people have lost confidence in the country’s financial system.

Mr Rustamov also said that the Central Bank held enough currency reserves to support the manat, despite a series of reports which suggested that it was running out of money after trying to defend its value unsuccessfully throughout 2015, and that several smaller banks would soon have to merge.

Other measures unveiled by Mr Rustamov to try to boost public support in the manat included allowing people to pay back loans of up to $5,000 at the manat/$ exchange rate prior to the last devaluation on Dec. 21 and cancelling tax on manat bank deposits and dividends.

Azerbaijan has been one of the hardest hit by the economic slowdown that has hit the region. Its economy is dependent on oil which has sunk in price to around $28/barrel from around $115/barrel in July 2014.

ENDS

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(News report from Issue No. 264, published on Jan. 22 2016)

 

Kazakhstan increases uranium output

JAN. 19 2016 (The Conway Bulletin) – Kazakhstan increased its uranium production by nearly 5% last year to 23.8m tonnes, media reported quoting the Kazakh nuclear agency Kazatomprom. Kazakhstan is the world’s largest producer of uranium. Kazakhstan has been increasing uranium production for a decade. Analysts have said that uranium exports may be a good future bet as countries look to boost nuclear power.

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(News report from Issue No. 264, published on Jan. 22 2016)

Armenia asks for gas price help

JAN. 21 2016 (The Conway Bulletin) – Armenia asked Gazprom to lower the prices of gas imports by 21% to $130 per thousand cubic metres to help it weather a fierce economic storm that has hit the region.

Media reported that Armenian gas consumers currently pay an excessive price for gas. Russia reduced the cost of gas sold to Armenia last year but the government didn’t pass that saving on to consumers. It now says that it’s time to give Armenian consumers a discount.

Last year, Armenians protested at a proposed increase in the price of electricity, giving the authorities a sharp reminder of their reputation for street-level politics.

In that instance the government backed down and avoided the price rises.

Armenia is a key Russian ally in the South Caucasus. The Russian military maintains a major base in Armenia.

ENDS

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(News report from Issue No. 264, published on Jan. 22 2016)

Stock market: Tethys, KAZ Minerals, Centerra

JAN. 21 2016 (The Conway Bulletin) — Tethys shares dropped to their lowest price since listing in 2011, falling 18% over the last week to 1.75p. Our graph shows its fall since the start of December.

Problems at its operations in Tajikistan may have dented investors’ confidence. China’s CNPC and France’s Total, its partners in the Bokhtar oil project, have said they want Tethys to exit the venture.

Last week, also, the Tajik government joined the fray and said it might expropriate 25% of the licensed area, as production hasn’t started yet.

Commodities prices were stable, after months of depreciation against the US dollar. But this has not helped all miners in the region. In fact, Centerra shares fell, due to the ongoing controversy with its Mongolian operations. On the upside, KAZ Minerals continued its upward trend, thanks to the continued depreciation of the Kazakh tenge. Its costs are in tenge. Its earnings in US dollars.

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(News report from Issue No. 264, published on Jan. 22 2016)

Uzbek leader cuts cotton harvest

JAN. 18 2016 (The Conway Bulletin) – Uzbek President Islam Karimov said in a speech he wanted to switch some cotton fields to growing vegetables, perhaps a sign agricultural self-sufficiency has become a more important objective for Uzbekistan. Uzbekistan’s cotton harvest will fall to 3m tonnes by 2020 from its current 3.5m tonne crop.

ENDS

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(News report from Issue No. 264, published on Jan. 22 2016)

Georgia holds Russia gas import talks

JAN. 20 2016 (The Conway Bulletin) – Georgian Energy Minister Kakha Kaladze said that he wanted to increase the amount of gas imported from Russia to 20% of Georgia’s total consumption, up from 11%, as he prepared to meet Gazprom executives for more talks. Plans to boost gas imports from Russia have irritated many Georgians. Georgia and Russia fought a war in 2008.

ENDS

Copyright ©The Conway Bulletin — all rights reserved

(News report from Issue No. 264, published on Jan. 22 2016)