JULY 24 2012 (The Conway Bulletin) – Officially at least 42 soldiers and rebel fighters died when Tajik government forces launched an assault against rebels in the south-east region of Gorno-Badakhshan.
It was the worst fighting in Tajikistan since 2010, when soldiers fought alleged Islamic militants along a valley in a different part of the country.
The government said the trigger for the assault was the murder of a military general three days earlier. Some analysts, though, have suggested the government may have been looking to launch this attack for some time.
Regardless, the fighting shows that government control over the fringes of Tajikistan is, at best, tenuous. President Emomali Rahkmon supposedly cemented his control over Tajikistan at the end of a civil war in 1997. The reality is that this authority, softened by the drugs trade and local factions, is often weak.
This is alarming for Central Asian states and Russia which need Tajikistan to act as a barrier against militant Islamists from Afghanistan. NATO is packing up and beginning to withdraw.
Despite pouring soldiers and helicopter gunships into Gorno-Badakhshan, government forces failed to dislodge the rebels, once again underlining the extent of central government’s power.
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(News report from Issue No. 098, published on July 27 2012)