This is just the latest warning, although it is also one of the most high-profile, that a conflict around Nagorno-Karabakh has become a real possibility.
“Both sides, backed by mobilised constituencies, appear ready for confrontation,” the ICG wrote. “These tensions could develop into larger- scale conflict, leading to significant civilian casualties and possibly prompting the main regional powers to intervene.”
Russia maintains a large military base in Armenia, while Turkey is one of Azerbaijan’s biggest allies.
ICG said since fighting in April 2016, tension around the region has worsened
“Since mid-January 2017, deadly incidents involving the use of heavy artillery and antitank weapons have occurred with varying degrees of intensity; May saw a significant increase, including reports of self- guided rockets and missiles used near densely populated areas,” it wrote.
ENDS
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(News report from Issue No. 331, published on June 5 2017)