OCT. 16 2013 (The Conway Bulletin) — Just who is going to succeed the long-standing Kazakh President Nursultan Nazarbayev is the biggest political issue in Kazakhstan.
Mr Nazarbayev, 73, has led Kazakhstan since independence from the Soviet Union in 1991. He has shaped Kazakhstan. The physical apex of Mr Nazarbayev’s power is his presidential palace, the Akorda, in the centre of Astana.
One of Mr Nazarbayev’s headaches, though, is the succession issue. He doesn’t have an obvious successor capable of holding together Kazakhstan’s notoriously fractious clans.
This means that when Mr Nazarbayev shuffles his lieutenants, it attracts close attention. So, when he pulled the career diplomat Kassym-Jomart Tokayev, 60, from United Nations in Geneva and appointed him to head the Senate, Kazakhstan-watchers started talking about succession.
It’s a familiar position for Mr Tokayev who had been Speaker of the Senate between 2007 and 2011. He has also previously served as PM and foreign minister.
And Mr Tokayev’s promotion to head the Senate is important. According to the constitution, if Mr Nazarbayev couldn’t run the country, for whatever reason, the Speaker of the Senate would take over.
Whether or not that means he will take over the presidency when Mr Nazarbayev finally retires is another question. There’s no doubt, though, that there is still a lot of conjecture and so-called Akorda-ology to come.
ENDS
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(News report from Issue No. 157, published on Oct. 23 2013)