Tag Archives: Kazakhstan

Markets: Interest rates up in Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan and Georgia

OCT. 2 2015 (The Conway Bulletin) — The three countries in the Central Asia and South Caucasus region with currencies floating freely (or partially so) have all increased their key interest rate.

Kazakhstan was the last to do so, bringing its key interest rate to 16% from the previous level of 12%. The 12% mark had only been set at the start of September, highlighting just how seriously the Kazakh Central Bank had underestimated the threat from inflation in its initial calculations. The Kyrgyz Central Bank raised its benchmark rate to 10%, up by 2 percentage points. Last week, Georgia increased rates to 7% from 6%.

The bottom line is that all three countries fear inflation. Kyrgyzstan has tried to hold off, while the Central Bank intervened lightly in the currency market to defend the som, but both foreign trade and remittances from abroad have declined, putting the Kyrgyz economy in an uncomfortable position.

Although probably necessary, these measures might not be enough to avoid climbing inflation in the coming months.

ENDS

(News report from Issue No. 250, published on Oct. 2 2015)

Stock market: KAZ Minerals, Central Asia Metals

OCT. 2 2015 (The Conway Bulletin) — Mining companies dominated the news this week from stock markets selling shares in Central Asian and South Caucasian companies.

London-listed KAZ Minerals lost 30% in one week before rising slightly to 91p. What was striking, though, was that the trade volume surpassed 25m shares, a weekly turnaround that was only seen during a surge in August and during another sharp fall in mid-January.

Central Asia Metals was essentially stable this week in London at around 155-158p.

Toronto-listed Centerra Gold fell again. This week, the Kyrgyzstan- focused mining company lost around 6% to end the week at 7.29 Canadian dollars.

Central Asia-focused oil companies showed mixed results. Nostrum Oil & Gas shares lost around 4% this week, down to 462p. This fall was linked to the ongoing saga with Tethys Petroleum on the takeover.

Kazakhstan-focused Roxi Petroleum performed well this wekek, as it climbed back to 10p, an 18% surge in seven days, triggered by the positive interim results for H1 2015 it published on Sept. 29.

ENDS

(News report from Issue No. 250, published on Oct. 2 2015)

Oil field in Kazakhstan to stop expansion

SEPT. 29 2015 (The Conway Bulletin) — Kazakhstan’s deputy energy minister Uzakbai Karabalin said Tengizchevroil (TCO) could freeze its expansion project due to low oil prices. TCO is the consortium, lead by the US’ Chevroil, developing the Tengiz oil field in West Kazakhstan. TCO accounts for roughly one-third of Kazakhstan’s oil production. Freezing the upgrade project may have a significantly negative effect on Kazakhstan’s oil output.

ENDS

(News report from Issue No. 250, published on Oct. 2 2015)

KMG EP appoints new “tech savvy” CEO

ALMATY, SEPT. 25 2015 (The Conway Bulletin) — In an effort to re-invigorate itself, London-traded KMG EP appointed the tech-savvy Kurmangazy Iskaziyev as its new CEO.

KMG EP is the upstream branch of Kazakhstan’s state-owned energy company Kazmunaigas. The company’s earnings have dropped because of low oil prices and a decline in production. Some upstream operations have been suspended.

Mr Iskaziyev replaces Abat Nurseitov, who was CEO when the company needed to generate cash quickly. It sold its stake in the Kashagan oil project and issued Eurobonds to raise capital.

Christopher Hopkinson, KMG EP’s chairman, said Mr Iskaziyev was a veteran of the company, having served as the CEO of Embamunaigas.

“Mr Iskaziyev has extensive experience in applying new technologies and increasing production efficiency,” Mr Hopkinson said.

ENDS

(News report from Issue No. 250, published on Oct. 2 2015)

McDonalds location starts row in Kazakhstan

SEPT. 19 2015, ALMATY (The Conway Bulletin) — City planners in Almaty confirmed that McDonald’s would open its first restaurant in the former Alatau cinema in the centre of the city next year, sparking debate over the US fast food chain’s entry into Kazakhstan.

The old Alatau cinema has been derelict for years but is loved by many people living in Almaty as an iconic part of the city’s architecture.

Karim Toktabayev, a businessman, is part of the campaign team trying to stop McDonald’s from moving into the cinema building.

“I am neutral towards opening of McDonald’s. I cannot say I am against it but I am very much against the demolition of the (former cinema) building,” he said. “Why do we need to demolish this building? Why can’t we save it? If we demolish all the old buildings we will not have any history left.”

Others, though, are more excited about McDonald’s opening. For many Kazakhs it has been a source of irritation that McDonalds, one of the most famous brands in the world never operated a restaurant in the country. Now that wrong can be put right.

“No matter where it opens, I am happy that it will open. We have plenty of cinemas in the city, why should it matter if we open it in one of these cinemas?” said Sholpan Alibekova, a student.

McDonalds has said it will probably open in the first quarter of 2016.

ENDS

(News report from Issue No. 249, published on Sept. 25 2015)

Kazmunaigas to boost petrol market

SEPT. 18 2015 (The Conway Bulletin) — Kazmunaigas Processing and Marketing (KMG P&M), a branch of the state-owned oil and gas company Kazmunaigas, said it wants to increase its brand’s share of the petrol retail market in Kazakhstan to around 33%. KMG P&M currently owns 324 petrol stations across the country representing 12% of the total. The company is selling 146 stations to private investors to reduce costs. The new owners will keep the Kazmunaigas brand. KMG P&M will then buy more stations to increase the number of petrol stations carrying its brand.

ENDS

(News report from Issue No. 249, published on Sept. 25 2015)

Currency: Kazakh tenge, Kyrgyz som

SEPT. 25 2015 (The Conway Bulletin) — Last week’s decision by the US Federal Reserve Bank not to modify interest rates was welcomed across Central Asia and the South Caucasus, where currencies performed well.

The Kazakh tenge, the Georgian lari and the Kyrgyz som all recouped 2% against the dollar and a timid 1% improvement was also noted in Armenia and Azerbaijan. Markets are still weak, however. Had it not been for Central Bank interventions for millions of dollars in Kazakhstan ($620m in one week), Georgia and Kyrgyzstan (around $30m each), their currencies would have kept falling.

By the end of the week, the Kazakh tenge was trading up 2.5% against the US dollar at 264/$1, the Kyrgyz som was up 2% at 69/$1 and the Georgian lari was up 2.4% at 2.39/$1.

Also, and this is interesting, a study from researchers at the International Monetary Fund found that the lack of confidence in domestic currencies and ingrained behaviours have hindered any policy of de-dollarisation across Central Asia and the South Caucasus.

ENDS

(News report from Issue No. 249, published on Sept. 25 2015)

Fire breaks out near Zhanaozen, Kazakhstan

SEPT. 18 2015 (The Conway Bulletin) – A fire broke out at an oil pit outside Zhanaozen in western Kazakhstan. High winds spread the fire over a 5 square km area. Media said the fire injured 2 people.

ENDS

(News report from Issue No. 249, published on Sept. 25 2015)

Samsung suspends building work at essential Kazakh power plant

ALMATY, SEPT. 23 2015 (The Conway Bulletin) — Korea-based Samsung Engineering said it was suspending construction work at a 1,320 megawatt coal-fired power plant near Lake Balkhash in Kazakhstan due to financing issues, throwing into doubt the feasibility of the $2.2b project that the Kazakh government has said is vital to meet growing demand for electricity.

Alluding to the impact of an economic downturn that has hit the economies and currencies of Central Asia, Samsung Engineering said it was worried that Kazakhstan couldn’t guarantee it would buy the power that the plant was due to generate.

“Samsung Engineering has been forced to temporarily halt the operation of the project because of an issue with the Kazakhstan government over the guaranteed purchase of the power to be produced from the project,” the company’s CEO Park Jung-heum told The Korea Times. He didn’t say when the project might resume.

The Kazakh government has not commented.

A consortium led by Samsung Engineering and Korean Electric Power Corp. won the project tender in 2009. The project was due to be completed in 2020 and would have supplied 9% of Kazakhstan’s total electricity demand.

The power plant was due to cost $2.2b to build. Korean Eximbank and Korea Trade Insurance Corp. pledged additional loans of around $3.5b.

In August, Samsung also said it was worried about the strength of Kazakhstan’s banking sector which is saddled with a large amount of bad debt, a legacy of the 2008/9 Global Financial Crisis.

Kazakhstan needs to increase its electricity generation capacity to power its export-oriented industrial sector and to feed its increasingly energy hungry population or face the prospect of black-outs. World Bank data showed that in 2014, Kazakhstan consumed around 88b kilowatt hours of electricity. In 2000, it consumed 48b kilowatt hours, figures that highlight the growth in demand.

Samsung’s decision to halt its big project at Balkhash is a serious setback for Kazakhstan’s energy plans.

It is also a litmus test for Kazakhstan’s ability to follow through with major infrastructure projects it planned during a period of high oil prices and steady export revenues.

ENDS

(News report from Issue No. 249, published on Sept. 25 2015)

Kazakh CBank intervenes again

SEPT. 21 2015 (The Conway Bulletin) – Kazakhstan’s Central Bank bought $200m-worth of tenge to protect its currency after it broke through the psychologically important 300/$1 barrier. Despite pledging not to intervene in the value of the tenge, the Kazakh Central Bank has spent over $700m this month on its defence.

ENDS

(News report from Issue No. 249, published on Sept. 25 2015)