Tag Archives: inflation

Kyrgyz business blames EEU for poor outlook

FEB. 5 2016, BISHKEK (The Conway Bulletin) — Frustrated Kyrgyz businessmen and company owners are blaming a worsening economy on joining the Russia-led Eurasian Economic Union (EEU) last year.

The criticism of the EEU, whether it is accurate or not, is a major problem for Kyrgyzstan’s leadership which dragged the country into the trade bloc despite deep-rooted unease from ordinary Kyrgyz. Also in the EEU are Russia, Kazakhstan, Belarus and Armenia.

In Bishkek, Azamat, who was selling cars, said Kyrgyzstan had aligned itself with the wrong countries.

“While we are in the Customs Union we will have nothing to develop,” he said.

The Customs Union is the old name for the EEU, which analysts have said was dreamt up by the Kremlin to extend its political control.

Western sanctions and a collapse in oil prices have tipped Russia’s economy into a recession. It has cancelled overseas projects, including a hydropower plant in Kyrgyzstan, and remittance flows from Kyrgyz workers in Moscow have fallen by around 40%. Inflation is rising in Kyrgyzstan and economic growth rates are being cut – a familiar story across the region.

Emil Umetaliev, a former Kyrgyz economy minister who now owns a travel company, told The Conway Bulletin that the EEU has been a major hindrance to small and medium sized companies, rather than the help that had been promised.

“The Eurasian economic union tends to organise countries’ interdependence on resources,” he said. “It does not encourage small and medium enterprises to develop and does not have a friendly investment climate.”

ENDS

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(News report from Issue No. 266, published on Feb. 5 2016)

 

Food prices inflate in Kazakhstan

FEB. 1 2016 (The Conway Bulletin) – Annualised food price inflation in Kazakhstan measured 11.6% for the 12-months to the end of January, the country’s statistics service said. The data highlights just how fast prices have risen in Kazakhstan. It devalued its currency last year, forcing up prices and salaries.

ENDS

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(News report from Issue No. 266, published on Feb. 5 2016)

 

Editorial: Emergency loan for Azerbaijan

JAN. 29 2016 (The Conway Bulletin) – The IMF’s arrival in Baku is a game-changer. For the Azerbaijani government to invite the IMF to Baku means that their economy is in a more perilous position then they had been letting on.

The manat has lost 35% of its value over the past month; demonstrations have stirred in regional cities; inflation is rising; jobs are disappearing.

We know all this but we’ve also been told that the Azerbaijani government has, officially at least, saved up around $35b in its sovereign wealth fund for exactly this sort of scenario.

Why then, would Azerbaijan invite the IMF to Baku to discuss a loan? The impression that the IMF’s arrival in Baku had created is that things in Azerbaijan are worse than they have been letting on. Perhaps the authorities haven’t really saved up $35b. Perhaps they don’t have access to all the $35b.

What is known is that IMF are in town until the end of next week and that Azerbaijan’s finances, and the extent of their dire financial scenario is currently shrouded in mystery.

ENDS

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(Editorial from Issue No. 265, published on Jan. 29 2016)

 

Inflation in Azerbaijan to soar in 2016

JAN. 24 2016 (The Conway Bulletin) – Inflation in Azerbaijan in 2016 will measure between 10% and 12%, finance minister Samir Sharifov said on TV, up from a previous estimate of 3%. In 2015 inflation measured 4%. The sudden increase is linked to the sharp devaluation in the manat currency, Mr Sharifov said.

ENDS

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(News report from Issue No. 265, published on Jan. 29 2016)

Inflation doubles in Kazakhstan

JAN. 21 2016 (The Conway Bulletin) – Inflation in Kazakhstan in 2015 measured 13.6%, nearly double the rate of 2014, media reported quoting the state statistics agency. The final tally confirms that prices increased rapidly after a tenge devaluation in August. The tenge has lost around 55% of its value since Feb. 2014.

ENDS

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(News report from Issue No. 264, published on Jan. 22 2016)

Utility prices rise in Kazakhstan

JAN. 1 2016 (The Conway Bulletin) – Media in Kazakhstan reported that utility companies had increased water and electricity prices by up to 15%, more evidence of latent inflation in the Kazakh economy linked to a sharp drop in the value of the tenge. Analysts have said frustration is growing among ordinary people about price rises. Electricity price rises in particular are a sensitive issue across the S.Caucasus/C.Asia region.

ENDS

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(News report from Issue No. 262, published on Jan. 8 2016)

 

Kazakh government cuts flour subsidies

JAN. 6 2016, ALMATY (The Conway Bulletin)  — Bread prices are beginning to rise in Kazakhstan after the government cut flour subsidies, people working in the bread-making sector told The Bulletin.

The Kazakh government ended its subsidies for flour on Jan. 1, a move it flagged up in November as part of an overhaul of government spending designed to counter an economic slowdown. It has defended dropping subsidies as fair because it means that
the money saved can be re-focused on benefits for poorer sections of society. Asylzhan Mamytbekov, minister for agriculture, has said that flour subsidies were costing the government 9b tenge a year ($26m).

But the impact of the subsidy cut on bread-makers is already being felt.

In Almaty, Yerbol Beisembayev was going about his business buying bread from factories and re-selling loaves to shops. He said that a couple of factories had already closed because the cut in flour subsidies had made them unprofitable.

“Now everything will depend on who will get the best price for the flour,” he said. “The government has allowed bread (prices) to free float, just like the tenge.”

In August, the Central Bank ditched the tenge’s peg to the US dollar. This sent the value of the tenge crashing by around 40%.

It appears that, for now, bread producers are preferring to soak up the extra cost of the flour rather than pass it on to consumers. Most shops selling bread in Almaty said there had been a small price rise of 5 tenge a loaf — roughly 8%. This below the doubling of prices that analysts had predicted once flour subsidies were cut.

ENDS

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(News report from Issue No. 262, published on Jan. 8 2016)

 

 

Inflation accelerates in Kazakhstan

JAN 5 2016 (The Conway Bulletin) – Annualised inflation in Kazakhstan hit 13.6% for the 12-months to the end of December, its highest rate for six years, the National Statistics Committee said. Inflation shot up in October after the tenge depreciated. In September, annualised inflation in Kazakhstan measured just 4.4%.

ENDS

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(News report from Issue No. 262, published on Jan. 8 2016)

 

Armenia’s CBank cuts interest rates

DEC. 22 2015 (The Conway Bulletin) – Armenia’s Central Bank cut its key interest rate by one percentage point to 8.75%, its lowest level for 11 months, because of a slowdown in inflation. It said that annualised inflation for the 12-months to the end of November measured 0.6% compared to 1.3% a year earlier. Slow global economic growth and low commodity prices have stalled prices in Armenia.

ENDS

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(News report from Issue No. 262, published on Jan. 8 2016)

 

Georgia’s CBank talks of rate rise

DEC. 7 2015 (The Conway Bulletin) – Georgia’s Central Bank chief Giorgi Kadagidze hinted at another interest rate rise to control inflation. He said inflation would peak next year before dropping back. At the start of last month, Georgia’s Central Bank increased its key interest rate by 0.5% to 7.5% — it’s highest level since 2011.

ENDS

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(News report from Issue No. 260, published on Dec. 11 2015)