ALMATY, OCT. 27 2015 (The Conway Bulletin) — The Kazakh government is considering levying a heavy fine against Karachaganak, Kazakhstan’s largest gas field, worrying observers who said this could mean a revival of resource nationalism.
According to sources quoted by Bloomberg News, the Kazakh government is likely to impose a penalty against the consortium operating Karachaganak for as much as $2b, in an attempt to earn quick cash for its crisis-hit state budget.
The sources, described as being familiar with the project, said the fine was for failing to meet contractual obligations.
A $2b fine would be the largest-ever penalty imposed on an energy consortium in Kazakhstan, exceeding a 2014 fine on Kashagan of $737m and a 2007 claim on Tengiz for $609m. British BG Group and Italian Eni own 29.5% each. Chevron and Lukoil are the smaller shareholders with 18% and 13.5% respectively. State-owned Kazmunaigas bought a 10% stake in the project in 2012, after a two-year tax dispute.
BG Group, Eni, Kazmunaigas and the Kazakh government all declined to comment.
The Bloomberg story hinted at resource nationalism, said Lawrence Markowitz, professor of Political Science at Rowan University.
“Contestation between Kazakhstan’s government and multinational corporations centres on contracts and this could be a case of a government using fines and penalties to be more predatory on the wealth these deposits generate,” Mr Markowitz told the Bulletin.
Other observers said Kazakhstan may be positioning itself ahead of a contract renegotiation.
“There is certainly pressure in Kazakhstan to change the Production Sharing Agreement contracts signed in the 1990s, because they were too generous for foreign companies,” said Nygmet Ibadildin, professor of Energy Policy at KIMEP University.
Shell agreed to buy BG earlier this year but speculation has mounted that Kazakhstan could exercise its preemptive rights to jump in and buy BG’s share.
ENDS
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(News report from Issue No. 254, published on Oct. 30 2015)