MARCH 27 2017 (The Conway Bulletin) — Nostrum, the London-listed oil company with assets in Kazakhstan, saw its share price fall 11% to 416p, its lowest price since the start of the year, after full year results for 2016 showed a sharp fall in revenues.

It said that revenue was down by $100m to $348m because of sustained low oil prices. Its chairman, Frank Monstrey, said that 2016 had been one of the most difficult years on record although cost cutting had reduced losses.

“Nostrum has not wavered during one of the most challenging years for the oil and gas industry in over a decade,” he was quoted as saying by media. “We have navigated 2016 with caution and great care to ensure our vision remains intact.”

Nostrum has been one of the best performing Central Asia/South Caucasus stocks this year, surging to an 18-month high of 518p at the start of March.

A drop in oil prices and the tough trading figures from 2016 put a dampener on this buy analysts are still backing it.

Brokerage Credit Suisse gave the Nostrum stock an ‘outperform’ rating with a target price of 535p for this year.

ENDS

MARCH 8 2017 (The Conway Bulletin) — Governments across the Central Asia/South Caucasus region will be nervously watching the Brent spot price as it slips back down to that all-important $50/barrel level. This is the psychological breakpoint.

If Brent oil dips below $50/barrel, national budgets, which have just been adjusted upwards, will have to be rethought. It broke through this level in mid-December and had hovered around the $55/barrel mark since then, before taking a downturn.

Oil prices had been pushed up in mid-December by a plan lead by producers to cut output. Data, though, this week showed that crude oil stocks held by the US government have risen, raising concerns that the fragile coalition patched together to contain global production was cracking. Data from Saudi Arabia, Iraq and Nigeria also suggested that production was rising again.

Kazakhstan’s output estimate has also been increased. The US Energy Information Administration (EIA) said Kazakhstan would produce 1.88m barrels of oil/day in 2017, compared to an earlier estimate of 1.86m barrels/day. In 2016, it produced 1.73m barrels of oil/day.

ENDS