Tag Archives: economy

Kyrgyzstan asks Eurasian Bank for crisis cash

BISHKEK, MARCH 9 2016 (The Conway Bulletin) — Kyrgyzstan’s finance minister Adylbek Kasymaliyev asked the Eurasian Fund for Stabilisation and Development to double its aid to $427m to help the country weather both an economic downturn and the impact of joining the Kremlin-led Eurasian Economic Union.

Remittance inflows to Kyrgyzstan have fallen by 40%, the som currency has lost 25% of its value and major infrastructure projects have been cancelled over the past six months.

Mr Kasymaliyev said Kyrgyzstan had already spent more than the $255m of loans and grants that the Fund, managed by the Eurasian Development Bank had given it.

“We have already surpassed our limit of $255m by allocating $260m. For this reason, we have asked the Council to raise the limit to $427,” Mr Kasymaliyev told local media.

The funds will be used for a range of projects, including agriculture.

Importantly, though, analysts said that although Kyrgyzstan needed to protect itself against the regional economic crisis, it was under extra pressure from its entry last August into the Eurasian Economic Union. The government said the trade block, which includes Russia, Kazakhstan, Belarus and Armenia, would improve conditions for Kyrgyz business.

Instead, though, businesses have complained it has exposed them to unfair competition.

Ayilchy Sarybayev, an analyst based in Bishkek, said the cash would be used to subsidise Kyrgyz farmers.

“The fund is being raised because small and medium enterprises cannot compete with Kazakh and Russian ones now,” he said. “Kyrgyz entrepreneurs have started buying (more expensive) agricultural equipment from Kazakhstan and Russia (rather than from China).”

ENDS

(News report from Issue No. 271, published on March 11 2016)

Inflation hit utilities in Kazakhstan

MARCH 9 2016 (The Conway Bulletin) – Utility tariffs in Kazakhstan were 11.2% higher in February this year compared to February 2015, the state statistics agency said. The biggest cost rise was a near 20% increase in sewage charges imposed on households. Heating and hot water prices have risen by nearly 6% and rubbish collection by around 5%. The data is more evidence of a rise in the cost of living in Kazakhstan after the currency lost around 50% of its value last year.

ENDS

(News report from Issue No. 271, published on March 11 2016)

S&P downgrades Kazakhstan’s Baiterek

FEB. 26 2016 (The Conway Bulletin) – Ratings agency Standard & Poor’s downgraded the credit ratings for Baiterek Holding from BBB-/A-3 to BB+/B. S&P said “the likelihood of extraordinary government support to the consolidated Baiterek group [is] almost certain”. It said its negative outlook mirrors that of the agency’s latest assessment of Kazakh sovereign credit. Baiterek’s subsidiaries include the Development Bank of Kazakhstan and the Investment Fund of Kazakhstan.

ENDS

(News report from Issue No. 270, published on March 4 2016)

Editorial: Azerbaijani, Kazakh, Georgian civil unrests

MARCH 4 2016 (The Conway Bulletin) – The economic downturn that has hit Central Asia and the South Caucasus in the past two years has dented people’s purchasing power.

Most people earn salaries in their local currency but these have lost between 50% and 25% of their value in the past months.

This has triggered some social unrest, especially in the South Caucasus. In January, people in Azerbaijan took to the streets to protest against rising food prices and stagnating wages.

The same reasons were voiced by miners in Tkibuli, Georgia, who went on strike for two weeks asking for a 40% increase in salaries. Now reports have emerged from Yerevan where market stall owners briefly scuffled with police over rental prices.

In Central Asia, protests are less frequent and, generally, silenced quickly by the authorities. Last month, however, dozens of Kazakh women banging pots and blowing whistles protested in Almaty about mortgage repayments.

The crisis is starting to bite hard and the people are growing increasingly restless.

ENDS

(Editorial from Issue No. 270, published on March 4 2016)

Kazakh CBank introduces new rules

FEB. 29 2016 (The Conway Bulletin) – Kazakhstan’s Central Bank imposed new rules for exchanging tenge into US dollars in an effort to bolster its tenge currency, which has lost around half its value in the past 12 months. From now, Kazakhs will have to present photo ID if they want to exchange more than 1m tenge ($2,860) into any foreign currency. This is half the previous level.

ENDS

(News report from Issue No. 270, published on March 4 2016)

Kazakh KMG EP revenues collapse by 37% in 2015

ALMATY, FEB. 26 2016, (The Conway Bulletin) — KMG EP posted a 37% fall in revenues in 2015 to 530b tenge ($2.4m), its lowest since 2009, because of depressed oil prices.

KMG EP is the exploration and production branch of Kazakhstan’s state-owned energy company Kazmunaigas. The collapse in KMG EP’s revenues mirrors the rest of Kazakhstan’s oil and gas sector.

But, although it posted a drop in revenue, KMG EP also boasted a 400% rise in net profit to $1.1b.

This was linked to the depreciation of the Kazakh tenge. KMG EP’s income is mainly in US dollars and its costs are in tenge.

Lower taxes and the write-down of its Ozenmunaigas field in western Kazakhstan also helped KMG EP’s profit. Ozenmunaigas had become a drain on the company, pulling in investment and extra salaries after rioting by workers in 2011.

But it was the depreciation of the tenge that drove most of KMG EP’s profit. KMG EP “recognised a foreign exchange gain of 449b tenge ($2b), as over 93% of cash and financial assets were denominated in foreign currencies at the time of the currency devaluation,” the company said in its annual report.

This boost, though, essentially disguised what would have been a loss in 2015, as analysts pointed out.

“The FX gain is a one off profit and will not affect the future operating profit of the company,” Gulmariya Zhapakova, analyst at Halyk Finance, said in a report.

KMG EP’s yearly report also said that salary inflation would hit it in 2016. It is under pressure from workers and their unions to raise salaries after the tenge lost half its value over the past year.

Production in 2015 was flat. KMG EP and its subsidiaries extracted 12.4m tonnes of oil.

ENDS

(News report from Issue No. 270, published on March 4 2016)

FDI drops in Kazakhstan

MARCH 2 2016 (The Conway Bulletin) – Foreign direct investment (FDI) in Kazakhstan’s oil and gas sector dropped by 72% to $1.9b last year compared to 2014, data from the Central Bank showed. The data shows just how heavily Kazakhstan’s oil and gas sector has been hit by the economic downturn. Proportionally, FDI to Kazakhstan’s oil and gas sector was harder hit than any other part of its economy.

ENDS

(News report from Issue No. 270, published on March 4 2016)

Kazakhstan’s senate agrees new budget

MARCH 3 2016 (The Conway Bulletin) – Kazakhstan’s senate passed a new budget for 2016 that reported an increase in state spending, a plan designed to kick-start the economy. The government’s actual income from taxes will drop in 2016, it is forecasting, by around 8% but a lump of cash earmarked for various projects in 2017 will instead be injected into the system this year.

ENDS

(News report from Issue No. 270, published on March 4 2016)

Editorial: Kyrgyz, Kazakh inflation

MARCH 4 2016 (The Conway Bulletin) – Inflation is the next enemy for South Caucasus and Central Asian countries hit by the regional economic downturn.

A fall in commodity prices at the end of 2014 pushed down revenues in the extractive sectors and sent the Russian rouble into a downward spiral. This then hit the value of local currencies, hurting people’s confidence in their Central Banks and their pockets.

Then came a fall in vital workers’ remittances from Russia, down by up to 45%.

Now, inflation appears to be on the rise, as Kyrgyzstan’s Central Bank chief Tolkunbek Abdygulov has warned.

In Kazakhstan, inflation is already at 15.1% year-on-year to the end of February 2016. It has been warning about a surge in prices and salaries since it effectively devalued its currency in Aug. 2015.

A couple of days after the devaluation, the Kazakh Central Bank said it was now making inflation-busting its top target. There is a lot of work to do.

ENDS

(Editorial from Issue No. 270, published on March 4 2016)

Kazakh foreign travel dries up

MARCH 1 2016 (The Conway Bulletin) – The proportion of Kazakhs travelling abroad for holidays or for work has fallen by 70% to 80% because of the devaluation in the tenge, media reported quoting the Kazakhstan Tourist Association chairman Rashid Shaikenov. The tenge has lost around 50% of its value in the past year, forcing people to ditch foreign holidays.

ENDS

(News report from Issue No. 270, published on March 4 2016)