Tag Archives: business

Azeri-Chirag- Guneshli production falls

AUG. 17 2017 (The Bulletin) — BP said that the Azeri-Chirag- Guneshli (ACG) in the Azerbaijani section of the Caspian Sea produced 14m tonnes of oil in the first half of 2017, 12.5% less than during the same period in 2016. The drop will irritate Azerbaijani officials who have been pressuring BP to stop a production slippage at ACG, its biggest oil producer. In the first half of 2013, ACG had produced nearly 22m tonnes of oil.

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(News report from Issue No. 340, published on Aug. 20 2017)

 

Kazakh CB to bail out commercial banks

AUG. 10 2017 (The Bulletin) — Kazakhstan’s Central Bank will write off bad loans held by the country’s commercial banks worth $1.8b to $3b through a bond purchasing programme, Olzhas Kizatov, head of its banking sector supervision department, told media. In essence this is a bail-out of the Kazakh banking sector. The Central Bank had estimated that 11% of the banks’ loan portfolio was considered bad but Mr Kizatov said that the real figure was higher.

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(News report from Issue No. 339, published on Aug. 13 2017)

Berdy visits Azerbaijan

AUG. 9 2017 (The Bulletin) — Turkmen president Kurbanguly Berdymukhamedov flew to Baku for talks with Azerbaijani President Ilham Aliyev that focused on efforts to feed Turkmen gas into the South Caucasus Energy Corridor that will pump supplies to Europe from the Caspian Sea. Turkmenistan is looking for more export routes for its gas. Officially the two leaders signed a document promising to further their strategic partnership.

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(News report from Issue No. 339, published on Aug. 13 2017)

 

US sanctions do not hit Kazakh CPC exports

AUG. 8 2017 (The Bulletin) — New US sanctions imposed on Russia will not affect Kazakh oil exports via the CPC pipeline to the Russian port of Novorossiysk, media quoted Kazakhstan  economy minister Timur Suleimenov, as saying. CPC has become the main export route for Kazakh oil produced at Tengizchevroil and Kashagan. At the start of August, US President Donald Trump signed a series of sanctions targeting Russian oil exports in retaliation for its meddling in the US election.

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(News report from Issue No. 339, published on Aug. 13 2017)

 

Kazakh economy improving says mobile operator Kcell

ALMATY, JULY 20 2017 (The Bulletin) — Macroeconomic conditions in Kazakhstan are improving, Kcell, the Kazakh mobile operator part-owned by Swedish-Finnish Telia, said in its first half report, an important view of Central Asia’s biggest economy.

Kcell’s revenue from sales was down by 1.1% in the first half of the year compared to the same period in 2016 at 71.54b tenge ($219.5m) but this was due to changes in tariffs and the tough market conditions in mobile operations.

More importantly, Kcell CEO Arti Ots said, the economy was starting to show sustained growth after three years of stagnation.

“In the first half of 2017, we saw continued improving trends in both macroeconomic indicators and the market environment in Kazakhstan,” he said. “In the domestic telecoms market, as previously reported, ongoing tariff adjustments are starting to give a positive impact, which we expect to see the results of in the second half of the year.”

Kcell reports are watched carefully by analysts as they are considered to give a balanced corporate view of Kazakhstan’s economy. Like the rest of the region Kazakhstan has been trying to shake off a tough three years linked to a collapse in oil prices and a recession in Russia.

Economists have also said the outlook for Kazakhstan has improved this year. The Kazakh Central Bank has said inflation is easing and the World Bank has estimated that GDP will grow at around 2.2% this year, compared to 1% in 2015 and 2016.

Kcell is fighting a 9b tenge fine for late payment of taxes in 2012-15 handed out this year by the Kazakh authorities, which it says is unfair. It said in its H1 report that it didn’t expect to have to pay the full fine. Telia is looking to sell its stakes, owned directly and indirectly, in Kcell after a corruption row focused on its operations in Uzbekistan tarnished its reputation.

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(News report from Issue No. 337, published on July 27 2017)

 

Currencies: Uzbekistan’s soum

JULY 27 2017 (The Bulletin) — So, it looks like we already have the big currency story of the year for the region. At least, that is, unless something goes terribly wrong with some of the more wobbly currencies out there – mentioning no names – Azerbaijan, Turkmenistan and even Kazakhstan.

The IMF returned from a mission to Tashkent saying that the government there was fully intending to relax currency exchange regulations that have strangled foreign investment. The official rate of the Uzbek soum is now just over 4,000/$1. The unofficial rate is more than double. How they merge is going to be the story to watch.

In the meantime, if anybody has missed it, it is clear that the Uzbek Central Bank has been managing a steady devaluation of its currency. The chart below shows the steps it has been making to devalue it – by more than 25% since the end of January.

On the equities front, KAZ Minerals continues to outperform, mainly because of another surge in copper prices.

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(News report from Issue No. 337, published on July 27 2017)

 

Uzbekistan’s and Germany’s Siemens signs MoU

JULY 24 2017 (The Bulletin) — Uzbekistan and Germany’s Siemens signed a memorandum of understanding to boost cooperation in the railway sector. The specifics of the deal were thin but it is being seen as a step towards more projects for Siemens in Uzbekistan.

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(News report from Issue No. 337, published on July 27 2017)

 

LSE courts Kazkahstan

JULY 17 2017 (The Bulletin) — Greg Hands, Britain’s trade and investment minister, lead a delegation to Kazakhstan in an apparent attempt to woo Kazakh state-owned companies that are considering IPOs to list on the London Stock Exchange. The London Stock Exchange has made little attempt to disguise its attempts to attract Kazakh companies to London despite previous problems with Kazakh corporate governance.

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international(News report from Issue No. 337, published on July 27 2017)

 

Czech investors in Kyrgyzstan’s hydro projects may be a false company

BISHKEK, JULY 17 2017 (The Bulletin) — The Czech company that Kyrgyz President Almazbek Atambayev was lauding for agreeing a multi-million-dollar deal to build new hydropower stations may not even exist.

Less than a week after a triumphant Mr Atambayev was quoted in media talking up Liglass, a company based in a provincial Czech town, as the new backers of a hydropower project that Russia backed out of in 2015, it has emerged that even his own diplomats were warning him that the company only appears to exist on paper.

Kyrgyzstan has staked much of its future economic potential on developing its hydropower. The deal was considered important because

Russia’s Rushydro pulled out of a $700m agreement to develop the hydropower stations in 2015.

Liglass had, according to Mr Atambayev, promised to pay $37m for a 50% stake in the Upper Naryn HPP, which includes two major hydropower projects, and to build and operate a string of smaller hydropower stations.

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(News report from Issue No. 337, published on July 27 2017)

 

Telia writes down Ucell, Uzbek subsidiary

JULY 14 2017 (The Bulletin) — Telia, the Swedish-Finnish telecoms company, said that it had written off the value of Ucell, its Uzbek subsidiary, by 2b Swedish krona ($245m) to 1.3b krona ($160m) because of currency and regulatory risks. It wants to sell out of Central Asia after a corruption row focused on its Uzbekistan unit. Earlier this year it sold its majority stake in Tajikistan’s Tcell to the Aga Khan. It appears to be having more difficulty offloading Ucell and its majority stakes in Kazakhstan’s Kcell, Azerbaijan’s Azercell and Georgia’s Geocell.

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Copyright ©Central Asia & South Caucasus Bulletin — all rights reserved

(News report from Issue No. 337, published on July 27 2017)