Tag Archives: business

Tajikistan turns down Kyrgyz request for extra power

DUSHANBE, JULY 26 2016 (The Conway Bulletin) — Tajikistan’s minister of energy, Usmonali Usmonzoda, said he had turned down a request from Kyrgyzstan for extra electricity because the Tajik power generating system did not have any spare capacity.

The inability of Tajikistan to send power to Kyrgyzstan shows just how interdependent countries in Central Asia are. It also comes at a time when extra scrutiny is being placed on the power generation systems in Tajikistan and Kyrgyzstan as they build up to powering the World Bank-backed $1.2b CASA-1000 power system to Pakistan.

At a press conference in Dushanbe, Mr Usmonzoda said that, due to rising industrial activity, Tajikistan does not have spare capacity.

“Kyrgyzstan asked for 2.5b kWh of electricity at 2.5 cents/kWh,” he told reporters. “This is a large volume and, because of the emergence of new domestic energy consumers, we decided to refrain from the supply.”

Last year, Tajikistan signed a short term supply agreement with Kyrgyzstan to export 146m kWh over the winter for 2.5 cent/kWh.

Now, though, Tajikistan may be looking for a better price.

Independent Bishkek-based energy expert Rasul Umbetaliyev told the KyrTAG news agency: “The minister diplomatically avoided answering directly, but the price for electricity exports from Tajikistan is currently 3.5 – 7 cents/kWh.”

Tajikistan is investing heavily in its power generating systems. It has approved a $3.9b project to build the Rogun hydropower system.

But with its economy stalling and industrial production lying stagnant rather than rising, production problems and not excessive demand could be holding back Tajikistan’s power exports.

Its electricity distributor, Barqi Tojik, has piled up $1.5b in debt. It hasn’t paid for the electricity it bought from power stations and it is still waiting to be paid by its largest customers.

The government is planning to split Barqi Tojik and bail it out.

ENDS

(News report from Issue No. 291, published on Aug. 1 2016)

Oil output falls in Kazakhstan

JULY 28 2016 (The Conway Bulletin) — Due to sustained low oil prices, Kazakhstan’s oil production could shrink further this year, according to Asset Magauov, deputy energy minister. Mr Magauov said that a majority of the companies operating in the country reported a decline in production in 2015. The official forecast for 2016 is 75.5m tonnes, a 5% reduction compared to last year. In March, then-energy minister Vladimir Shkolnik had projected a production target of 77m tonnes for 2016.

ENDS

(News report from Issue No. 291, published on Aug. 1 2016)

EBRD considers Azerbaijani gas

JULY 26 2016 (The Conway Bulletin) — The European Bank for Reconstruction and Development (EBRD) said it is negotiating financing TAP, a trans-Adriatic gas pipeline which forms part of the so-called Southern Gas Corridor network that will pump Azerbaijani gas to Europe. In an interview with AP, the EBRD said it is looking to invest €500m ($550m) in the project. Azerbaijan’s state-owned SOCAR (20%), BP (20%), Italy’s Snam (20%), Belgium’s Fluxys (19%), Spain’s Enagas (16%), and Switzerland’s Axpo (5%) own TAP.

ENDS

(News report from Issue No. 291, published on Aug. 1 2016)

Tajikistan to open railway to the south

DUSHANBE, JULY 25 2016 (The Conway Bulletin) — Tajikistan has finished building a new railway connecting the capital city with the south, that avoids the headache of passing through Uzbekistan.

The Dushanbe- Kurgan Tyube-Kulob route effectively lifts its southern region out of economic isolation and removes Uzbekistan’s ability to close the route at will and use it as a bargaining tool. The Soviet Union had built Tajikistan’s railway through parts of Uzbekistan to avoid the more challenging Pamiri terrain.

Usmon Kalandarov, deputy director of the Tajik Railways company, said that the railway, which will be opened on Aug. 24, was built with the financial support of Chinese Eximbank.

“The construction of five bridges and three tunnels on this road has been financed by the Chinese bank Eximbank with a loan of 72m somoni ($9.2m),” he said at a press conference.

In 2011, in retaliation for plans to build a dam that would divert water away from its cotton crops, Uzbekistan cut the original railway line. Other than a dangerous and unreliable single road that weaved its way through the Pamir mountains, this effectively cut off the south of the country.

Sardor, a 52-years-old local trader, told The Conway Bulletin correspondent in Dushanbe that he has been waiting for the railway to be finished.

“I bring fruits and vegetables from southern towns to Dushanbe and vice-versa. It is inefficient for me to use trucks, they are expensive and take a long time,” Sardor said as he sold melons. “I think the new railway will be good for me because I will pay less to transport goods, which will not have to go through Uzbekistan and be in trouble like before.”

ENDS

(News report from Issue No. 291, published on Aug. 1 2016)

Stock market: Nostrum Oil and Gas

AUG 1 2016 (The Conway Bulletin) — Amsterdam-based Nostrum Oil & Gas has posted lower revenues and production in H1 2016, but its share price continued to hold at around 300p because of bullish forward forecasts.

The company’s CEO Kai-Uwe Kessel said that in an era of low oil prices, cost-cutting is paramount. He also said that the company was focusing on building a small pipeline that would reduce its transport costs in 2017.

By focusing on cutting costs, however, the company seems to have been unable to regain either its production or its revenue stream from last year. Both were down by 12% and 41% respectively in H1 2016.

In the company’s statement, Mr Kessel remained confident that Nostrum’s production target will be met by the end of the year.

“We look forward to increasing production throughout the second half of the year to achieve our target 2016 production of 40,000 boepd,” he said.

ENDS

(News report from Issue No. 291, published on Aug. 1 2016)

China pursues Tajik gold

JULY 22 2016 (The Conway Bulletin) — Chinese power engineering company TBEA received a licence to develop the Eastern Duoba and Upper Kumarg gold mines. The company, which won a tender to build a thermal power plant in Dushanbe in 2014, completed exploration works at the two mines in June. Chinese investment in Tajikistan has grown significantly in the past decade.

ENDS

(News report from Issue No. 291, published on Aug. 1 2016)

Chinese and European investors to buy Tajik fertiliser

JULY 28 2016 (The Conway Bulletin) — The Tajik government said that Chinese and European investors have shown interest in buying TojikAzot, a debt-ridden fertiliser plant in the southern province of Khatlon. TojikAzot stopped operations in 2008 when it halted gas imports from Uzbekistan. The company was privatised in 2002, when Ukrainian businessman Dmytro Firtash bought a 75% share in the company. Mr Firtash was later accused of illegally buying the plant and a local court invalidated the privatisation in 2014.

ENDS

(News report from Issue No. 291, published on Aug. 1 2016)

IMF considers loan to Tajikistan

JULY 26 1 2016 (The Conway Bulletin) — Negotiations for a $500m IMF loan are continuing, Jamoliddin Nuraliyev, deputy chief of Tajikistan’s Central Bank told local media. The IMF has scheduled a visit to the country in August to lay out details for the loan. Mr Nuraliyev said that the country needs support to see it through a “difficult economic period.”

ENDS

(News report from Issue No. 291, published on Aug. 1 2016)

Gazprom Kyrgyzstan repairs pipeline

JULY 26 2016 (The Conway Bulletin) — Maintenance work at the Bukhara-Tashkent-Bishkek-Almaty gas pipeline will result in gas cutoffs in several Kyrgyz towns, the press service of Gazprom Kyrgyzstan said. The pipeline is part of a Soviet-designed system pumping Uzbek gas to Kyrgyzstan and Kazakhstan and the repairs and gas cutoffs show just how antiquated the pipeline network has become.

ENDS

(News report from Issue No. 291, published on Aug. 1 2016)

Business comment: Centerra’s Good, Bad, and Ugly

AUG 1 2016 (The Conway Bulletin) — This month, Canadian miner Centerra Gold received permission from the Kyrgyz government to continue its operations at the Kumtor gold mine in the east of the country, increased its production guidance and said it will pay out dividends for the second quarter of the year.

Kyrgyzaltyn, which owns 32% in Centerra, will receive $2.3m in dividends.

This will be the first time Kyrgyzaltyn has received a dividend from Centerra since 2014, when a Canadian court froze its assets due to a pending court case. Last week, the Canadian court dismissed the case and this week it released Kyrgyzaltyn’s assets.

By only reading official press releases, the month of July must have been excellent for Centerra and Kyrgyzaltyn.

But there’s more, and it looks ugly in the medium term.

Centerra raised cash through loans and new shares to buy a majority stake in Thompson Creek a US-based miner focused on Canadian gold. The whole operation will be worth $1.1b.

But issuing new shares will anger Kyrgyzaltyn, which will see its stake in the company shrink to around 28.8%. This means less direct revenues from the Kumtor gold mine, which is 100% owned by Centerra. Essentially, the Kyrgyz government wants to bring the gold mine back under its control.

If relations between the Candian miner and the Kyrgyz government do worsen, the fate of the Kumtor gold mine, Kyrgyzstan’s largest mining asset, could become more uncertain than ever.

For both Kyrgyzstan’s economic outlook and also for its reputation as a place to do business, this is not good.

ENDS

(News report from Issue No. 291, published on Aug. 1 2016)