Tag Archives: Azerbaijan

Inflation rises in Azerbaijan

JULY 11 2016 (The Conway Bulletin) — Azerbaijan’s Statistics Committee said that the country’s six-month inflation reached 10.5% at the end of June, a consequence of the depreciation of the manat currency. When the Central Bank ditched the peg to the US dollar in December, the manat lost around half of its value. In January and February localised protesters rallied against growing prices in food markets. The Statistics Committee said that food prices were up 12%.

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(News report from Issue No. 289, published on July 15 2016)

ADB agrees $750m loan to update Azeri power

JULY 12 2016 (The Conway Bulletin) — The Asian Development Bank (ADB) said it will lend $750m to Azerbaijan to co-fund improvements to the country’s outdated regional power distribution systems.

The project, worth around $1b, aims to refurbish the distribution network and the efficiency of Azerishiq (Azerlight), the state-owned power distribution company.

Azerbaijan’s government will invest the remaining $250m. The ADB said that it will send its $750m loan in three tranches of $250m.

“This ADB program will help address the bottleneck in electricity supply and provide round-the-clock and reliable electricity to households and entities in secondary cities and rural areas in Azerbaijan,” Sean O’Sullivan, director general in ADB’s Central Asia Department, said.

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(News report from Issue No. 289, published on July 15 2016)

Azerbaijani, Kazakh and Uzbek ministers meet in Astana

JULY 12 2016 (The Conway Bulletin) — With the exception of Turkmenistan, foreign ministers of the Caspian Sea littoral states met in Astana to continue drafting a resolution which should resolve ongoing disputes over the legal status of the Caspian. Kazakh PM Karim Massimov also attended. The ministers said the convention will be signed at a heads of state meeting next year in Astana.

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(News report from Issue No. 289, published on July 15 2016)

Azerbaijan’s economy shrinks, recession looms

JULY 14 2016 (The Conway Bulletin) — Azerbaijan’s Statistics Committee said its GDP shrank by 3.4% in manat terms in the first half of 2016, compared to the same period last year, a reflection of the negative impact that sustained low oil prices have had on the country’s economy.

This confirms concern voiced by international economists and ratings agencies that the Azerbaijani economy was going to contract this year.

Data from the state Statistics Committee showed that Azerbaijan’s GDP shrank in the first quarter of the year and now, although the data is patchy, the statistics appear to suggest that the second quarter of the year also showed that Azerbaijan’s economy had shrunk.

Azerbaijan is particularly vulnerable to low oil prices. Roughly 40% of its GDP is directly derived from oil and gas revenues. The last time that Azerbaijan’s economy shrank was in 2011 when its oil and gas production slipped.

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(News report from Issue No. 289, published on July 15 2016)

Azerbaijan’s capital to host trilateral meet

JULY 14 2016 (The Conway Bulletin) — Iranian officials said that a trilateral meeting between Russia, Iran and Azerbaijan will take place in Baku next month. Azerbaijan’s President Ilham Aliyev will host talks with Iran’s President Hassan Rouhani and Russia’s President Vladimir Putin on August 8. The countries have said they want to build a new format of regional cooperation, along a north-south corridor.

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(News report from Issue No. 289, published on July 15 2016)

Azerbaijan jails journalist

JULY 1 2016 (The Conway Bulletin) — A court in Azerbaijan sentenced Fikret Faramazoglu, editor of theinvestgiative jam.az newspaper, to three months in jail for extortion. Jam.az reports on court cases involving government officials, with a focus on the national security department. Media lobby groups say the charges are false.

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(News report from Issue No. 288, published on July 8 2016)

Exports drop at Azerbaijan’s SOCAR

JULY 1 2016 (The Conway Bulletin) — In its monthly report, SOCAR said it cut its oil export by 10% in the first half of 2016, compared to last year. The company did not give a reason for the drop. Shipments via Turkey’s Ceyhan port, the terminal of the Baku-Tbilisi-Ceyhan pipeline, were 30% lower in June 2016 compared to last year. Shipments via the Supsa terminal in Georgia fell by 48% in the same month.

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(News report from Issue No. 288, published on July 8 2016)

Business comment: Contracts of the century

JULY 8 2016 (The Conway Bulletin) — After the fall of the Soviet Union, multinational oil companies flocked into Central Asia and the South Caucasus to strike new deals around the Caspian Sea.

Kazakhstan in 1993 and Azerbaijan in 1994 awarded two massive licenses to Chevron and BP respectively. Both contracts became known as “the contract of the century”.

They became the largest oil projects in Azerbaijan and Kazakhstan, both operated under Production Sharing Agreement schemes, which gave significant advantages to the multinational companies in recovering their initial capital expenditures.

In the new era of sustained low oil prices, however, the Azeri-Chirag-Guneshli (ACG) group of offshore oil fields in Azerbaijan has had a different fate from Tengizchevroil in west Kazakhstan.

Azerbaijan’s President Ilham Aliyev has repeatedly pushed BP and its partners to increase production and continue to invest in spite of lower returns. Since mid-2014, when oil prices started plunging, ACG’s output growth has been sluggish at best. Now a potential corporate war over ACG between BP and Exxon contrasts strikingly to the success story of Tengizchevroil.

After years of mulling over an expansion and balancing costs, the consortium decided to launch a $36.8b investment that will boost production by 2022. This is a relief for Kazakhstan.

Tengiz has one of the lowest production costs in the region, at around $5.3/barrel, which makes it an easy bet even when oil prices are so low.

After the hype of the 1990s, now it seems clearer which of the two really deserved to be called the “contract of the century”.

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(News report from Issue No. 288, published on July 8 2016)

EIB plans loan to Azerbaijan’s AccessBank

JULY 5 2016 (The Conway Bulletin) — The EU’s European Investment Bank (EIB) said it plans to issue a €20m ($22m) loan to Azerbaijan’s AccessBank. Banks in Azerbaijan have suffered cash shortages this year, after the Central Bank abandoned the currency peg to the US dollar, slashing the value of the manat. AccessBank mainly funds small and medium enterprises. The EIB had issued a €25m ($27m) loan in 2014.

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(News report from Issue No. 288, published on July 8 2016)

BP-Exxon row slows development at Azerbaijani field

JULY 1 2016 (The Conway Bulletin) — A row between BP and Exxon Mobil risks delaying an agreement between members of a consortium developing Azerbaijan’s largest oil field, Azeri-Chirag-Guneshli (ACG), sources told Reuters news agency.

Any delay in developing the field will be a major embarrassment for BP, the lead operator of the project, and a disappointment to Azerbaijan which is looking to boost oil production.

“BP and Azerbaijan agree to the new terms but Exxon keeps rejecting them time and time again,” Reuters reported quoting an anonymous source with knowledge of the sector and the companies.

“It has been going on for almost two years, with Exxon insisting on better terms.”

In May, the Azerbaijani government said it had submitted its proposal for a new contract to all consortium members. No details of the contract, or its sticking points, have been released.

ACG was dubbed the “contract of the century” when it was first signed in September 1994.

The consortium shareholders are BP (35.8%), Exxon (8%), SOCAR (11.6%), Chevron (11.3%), Japan’s INPEX (11%), Statoil (8.6%), Turkey’s TPAO (6.8%), Japan’s ITOCHU (4.3%) and India’s ONGC (2.7%).

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(News report from Issue No. 288, published on July 8 2016)